Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:03:06+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

7C
0x7c44…f27f
crypto · 881 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$204 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$165 · open −$39
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$81
Realized−$165
Unrealized−$39
Win rate (resolved)93%
Wins / losses816 / 63
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions2
Markets (closed)879 / 881
History coverage25d
Avg bet$35
Trades / day36.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit92%
Chart Positions 2 History 879 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$385
7 days−$506
14 days−$279
30 days−$166
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ET Down 93¢ 80¢ $60 $51 −$9 (-14%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ET Down 91¢ 46¢ $60 $30 −$30 (-50%)
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 8PM ET Up 95¢ 0¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 6PM ET Up 94¢ 0¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 8PM ET Up 91¢ 0¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11AM ET Down 92¢ 0¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8PM ET Up 92¢ 0¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 10AM ET Up 93¢ 0¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6AM ET Up 94¢ 0¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8AM ET Jun 12 $60 +$4 +7%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7AM ET Jun 12 $60 +$3 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6AM ET Jun 12 $60 +$5 +8%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6AM ET Jun 12 $60 +$4 +6%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3AM ET Jun 12 $60 +$4 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3AM ET Jun 12 $60 +$3 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3AM ET Jun 12 $60 +$3 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 11PM ET Jun 12 $60 +$4 +6%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 11PM ET Jun 12 $60 +$3 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8PM ET Jun 12 $60 +$5 +8%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 8PM ET Jun 12 $60 −$60 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 8PM ET Jun 12 $60 −$60 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8PM ET Jun 12 $60 −$60 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7PM ET Jun 12 $60 +$3 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7PM ET Jun 12 $60 +$5 +8%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 6PM ET Jun 11 $60 +$4 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 6PM ET Jun 11 $60 −$60 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3PM ET Jun 11 $60 +$3 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3PM ET Jun 11 $60 +$3 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 3PM ET Jun 11 $60 +$3 +6%
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 2PM ET Jun 11 $61 +$11 +17%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2PM ET Jun 11 $60 +$3 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2PM ET Jun 11 $60 +$3 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12PM ET Jun 11 $60 +$4 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12PM ET Jun 11 $60 +$3 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 12PM ET Jun 11 $60 +$5 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 11AM ET Jun 11 $60 +$5 +8%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 11AM ET Jun 11 $60 +$5 +8%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 11AM ET Jun 11 $60 +$5 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11AM ET Jun 11 $60 −$60 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10AM ET Jun 11 $60 +$5 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10AM ET Jun 11 $60 +$4 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 10AM ET Jun 11 $60 −$60 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 9AM ET Jun 11 $60 +$3 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9AM ET Jun 11 $60 +$4 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9AM ET Jun 11 $60 +$5 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 9AM ET Jun 11 $60 +$4 +6%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 9AM ET Jun 11 $60 +$4 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8AM ET Jun 11 $60 +$5 +8%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 7AM ET Jun 11 $60 +$3 +5%
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 6AM ET Jun 11 $60 +$4 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6AM ET Jun 11 $60 −$60 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 5AM ET Jun 11 $60 +$3 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 11 $49 −$1 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 11 $44 −$3 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3AM ET Jun 11 $60 +$6 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1AM ET Jun 11 $60 +$3 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 1AM ET Jun 11 $60 +$5 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12AM ET Jun 11 $60 +$4 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12AM ET Jun 11 $60 +$5 +8%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 91% −$243
other 9% +$39
sports 0% $0
world 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $60 7m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $60 10m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $60 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $60 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $60 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $60 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $60 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $60 6h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $60 6h
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 11PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $60 10h
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 11PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $60 10h
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 8PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $60 13h
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 8PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $60 13h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $60 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $60 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $60 14h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $60 14h
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 6PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $60 15h
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 6PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $60 15h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $60 18h
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 3PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $60 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $60 18h
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 2PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $61 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $60 19h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $60 19h
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 12PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $60 21h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $60 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $60 21h
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 11AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $60 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $60 22h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)-9.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 318 -2.8% -12.0% 88% 1% -12.0%
≤30d 879 +0.2% -9.4% 93% 1% -10.0%
≤90d 879 +0.2% -9.4% 93% 1% -10.0%
all 879 +0.2% -9.4% 93% 1% -10.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover36.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.4% 1% -10.0%
10% ← realistic here -18.0% 0% -18.6%
15% -25.9% 0% -26.5%
20% -33.2% 0% -33.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $81.34 · official $81.34 (match) · 1786 history records