Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T07:43:22+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
7C 0x7c50…66b2 crypto 147 markets active 1h ago coverage 6d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (126 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$89 (-6%) realized −$89 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -28% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -45% what you keep after slip
Net edge-45%after slip
Net WR20%break-even
Win rate40%59W / 88L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$10per market
Trades / day126.2pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$134
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (126 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +20%
net ROI/market (all)-35.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 147 -28.5% -35.3% 40% 20% -17.6%
≤30d 147 -28.5% -35.3% 40% 20% -17.6%
≤90d 147 -28.5% -35.3% 40% 20% -17.6%
all 147 -28.5% -35.3% 40% 20% -17.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover126.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -35.3% 20% -17.6%
10% ← realistic here -41.5% 12% -25.5%
15% -47.1% 9% -32.7%
20% -52.3% 7% -39.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 16% · top 2 27% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -10% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
51% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -28% · $-wt -10% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -20% → late -37% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
3.5 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$3 · ×0.65 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.44 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

6d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$89
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)40%
Wins / losses59 / 88
Open positions0
Markets (closed)147 / 147
History coverage6d
Avg bet$10
Trades / day126.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 147 Trades
no open positions (51 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 15 $6 −$1 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 15 $8 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 15 $11 −$3 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 15 $4 −$2 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 15 $3 −$1 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 15 $6 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 15 $12 −$6 -51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 15 $18 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 15 $6 −$3 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 15 $9 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 15 $14 +$2 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 15 $4 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 15 $32 −$5 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 15 $29 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 15 $3 +$1 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 15 $6 −$3 -59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 14 $22 +$2 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 14 $19 −$4 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 14 $20 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 14 $20 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 14 $8 −$3 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 14 $17 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 14 $9 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 14 $11 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 14 $16 −$11 -68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 14 $8 −$3 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 -4%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Down 18¢ $1 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET SELL Down 39¢ $2 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET SELL Up 49¢ $1 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET SELL Up 49¢ $1 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $2 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET SELL Down 24¢ $1 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 25¢ $1 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET SELL Down 28¢ $1 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $2 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET SELL Down 60¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET SELL Down 62¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET SELL Down 46¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET SELL Up 42¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET SELL Up 61¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET SELL Up 45¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET SELL Up 47¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET SELL Down 55¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET SELL Up 38¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET SELL Up 38¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $2 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 820 history records