Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T21:01:14+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

7C
0x7c54…6c48
crypto · 497 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$1,879 +88%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1,883 · open −$4
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$4
Realized+$1,883
Unrealized−$4
Win rate (resolved)1%
Wins / losses7 / 498
Open positions2
Markets (closed)505 / 497
History coverage4d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day809.5
Drawdown32%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 505 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1,555
7 days+$1,883
14 days+$1,883
30 days+$1,883
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $4 $2 −$2 (-50%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $4 $2 −$2 (-50%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$2,698
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $3 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $4 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $3 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $3 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $4 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $4 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 26m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)-73.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 505 -70.9% -73.7% 1% 1% -4.8%
≤30d 505 -70.9% -73.7% 1% 1% -4.8%
≤90d 505 -70.9% -73.7% 1% 1% -4.8%
all 505 -70.9% -73.7% 1% 1% -4.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover809.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -73.7% 1% -4.8%
10% ← realistic here -76.2% 1% -13.9%
15% -78.5% 1% -22.2%
20% -80.6% 1% -29.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $4.30 · official $107.63 · 3500 history records