Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T21:56:31+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

7C
0x7c5a…7e4e
other · 14 markets active 1h ago
5.0score
+$33 +7%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$39 · open −$6
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$18
Realized+$39
Unrealized−$6
Win rate (resolved)67%
Wins / losses4 / 2
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions8
Markets (closed)6 / 14
History coverage134d
Avg bet$33
Trades / day0.1
Drawdown70%
Kalshi-fit43%
Chart Positions 8 History 6 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$6
7 days+$15
14 days+$15
30 days+$15
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-4%)
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-9%)
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $5 $4 −$0 (-10%)
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+75%)
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-25%)
Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-25%)
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-38%)
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Yes 20¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 15-18%? Yes 5¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $5 +$6 +109%
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliament Jun 10 $171 +$9 +5%
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliament Apr 14 $93 −$58 -62%
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in t Apr 13 $143 +$87 +60%
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány? Feb 25 $5 −$5 -100%
Samford Bulldogs vs. Furman Paladins Jan 29 $13 +$1 +8%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
politics 91% +$32
other 5% −$6
sports 4% +$7
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 47¢ $5 1h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 20¢ $5 3h
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 0¢ $1 47h
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 0¢ $1 47h
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 1¢ $5 47h
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 0¢ $1 47h
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 2¢ $5 47h
Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 0¢ $1 47h
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 0¢ $5 47h
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliament BUY No 95¢ $171 59d
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliament SELL Yes 3¢ $35 59d
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliament BUY Yes 6¢ $33 60d
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliament BUY Yes 5¢ $40 60d
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliament BUY Yes 4¢ $20 60d
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in t BUY Yes 67¢ $43 87d
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány? BUY Yes 1¢ $5 107d
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in t BUY Yes 62¢ $50 107d
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in t BUY Yes 59¢ $50 133d
Samford Bulldogs vs. Furman Paladins SELL Furman Paladins 70¢ $14 133d
Samford Bulldogs vs. Furman Paladins BUY Furman Paladins 65¢ $13 133d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-12.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 2 +57.3% +42.4% 100% 50% -2.1%
≤30d 2 +57.3% +42.4% 100% 50% -2.1%
≤90d 4 +18.8% +7.5% 75% 50% +10.7%
all 6 -2.8% -12.1% 67% 33% +8.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.1 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -12.1% 33% +8.7%
10% -20.5% 33% -1.7%
15% -28.2% 33% -11.2%
20% -35.2% 33% -19.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $17.77 · official $17.77 (match) · 24 history records