Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T17:08:47+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
7C 0x7c5a…e323 crypto 1527 markets active 0h ago coverage 9d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 9d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (216 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$5,612 (+6%) realized +$5,612 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR12%break-even
Win rate86%1310W / 216L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$58per market
Trades / day216.4pace
Kalshi-fit96%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 98% −$1,040
other 2% −$9
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (216 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +12%
net ROI/market (all)-9.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1092 +0.8% -8.8% 82% 17% -9.8%
≤30d 1526 +0.5% -9.1% 86% 12% -10.6%
≤90d 1526 +0.5% -9.1% 86% 12% -10.6%
all 1526 +0.5% -9.1% 86% 12% -10.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover216.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.1% 12% -10.6%
10% ← realistic here -17.8% 3% -19.1%
15% -25.7% 0% -27.0%
20% -33.0% 0% -34.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 2% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
85% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +0% · $-wt -1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -0% → late +1% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.3 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$13 · ×0.1 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.62 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

9d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$5,612
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)86%
Wins / losses1310 / 216
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1526 / 1527
History coverage9d ⚠
Avg bet$58
Trades / day216.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit96%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1526 Trades
no open positions (7 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 15 $9 +$1 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 15 $9 +$1 +15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 15 $9 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 15 $8 +$2 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 15 $9 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 15 $8 +$2 +31%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 15 $9 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 15 $9 +$1 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 15 $9 +$1 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 15 $9 −$9 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 15 $8 +$2 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 15 $8 +$2 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 15 $9 −$9 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 15 $9 −$9 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 15 $8 +$2 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 15 $8 +$2 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 15 $8 +$2 +22%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 15 $8 +$2 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 15 $9 +$1 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 15 $8 −$8 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 15 $14 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 15 $9 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 15 $9 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 15 $9 +$1 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 15 $9 +$1 +13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 15 $9 +$1 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 15 $8 +$2 +19%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 15 $9 +$1 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 15 $9 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 15 $9 +$1 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 15 $8 −$8 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 15 $9 +$1 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 15 $9 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 15 $9 +$1 +16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 15 $9 +$1 +13%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 15 $9 −$9 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 15 $8 +$2 +31%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 15 $9 −$8 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 15 $9 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 15 $3 +$1 +30%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 15 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 15 $9 −$9 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 15 $9 −$9 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 15 $9 −$9 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 15 $9 −$9 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 15 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 15 $6 −$6 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $9 10m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $9 10m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $9 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $8 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $9 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $8 30m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $9 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $9 40m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $9 54m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $9 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $9 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $9 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $8 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $8 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $8 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $9 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $9 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $9 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $9 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $9 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $9 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $9 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $8 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $9 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records