Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T05:37:36+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

7C
0x7c65…3ea8
crypto · 16 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$514 -67%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$514 · open −$20
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$514
Unrealized−$20
Win rate (resolved)60%
Wins / losses9 / 6
Open positions1
Markets (closed)15 / 16
History coverage354d
Avg bet$48
Trades / day0.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 15 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1
7 days−$1
14 days−$1
30 days−$1
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-99%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 14 $104 −$3 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$4 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$2 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $25 +$5 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 14 $25 +$5 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +28%
Bonnie Blue unbanned on OnlyFans in June? Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$3 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$3 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$4 +81%
Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York Cit Jun 25 $514 −$512 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
politics 67% −$512
crypto 33% −$20
sports 0% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $21 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $10 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET SELL Up 44¢ $101 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $104 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET SELL Down 97¢ $15 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $10 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $10 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $12 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $10 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET SELL Up 94¢ $30 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $25 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $30 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $25 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $6 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $5 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $5 1h
Bonnie Blue unbanned on OnlyFans in June? BUY Yes 2¢ $2 353d
Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York Cit SELL Yes 0¢ $2 353d
Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York Cit BUY Yes 59¢ $494 354d
Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York Cit BUY Yes 57¢ $20 354d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +53%
net ROI/market (all)-17.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 14 -1.9% -11.2% 64% 57% -10.1%
≤30d 14 -1.9% -11.2% 64% 57% -10.1%
≤90d 14 -1.9% -11.2% 64% 57% -10.1%
all 15 -8.4% -17.1% 60% 53% -71.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.1 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -17.1% 53% -71.8%
10% -25.0% 33% -74.5%
15% -32.3% 20% -76.9%
20% -38.9% 13% -79.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.18 · official $0.18 (match) · 33 history records