Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T01:40:30+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

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score
7C 0x7c69…5aeb crypto 497 markets active 6h ago coverage 32d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 32d only
✗ bot/MM pace (93 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$2,992 (+1%) realized +$2,992 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -26% what you keep after slip
Net edge-26%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate91%453W / 44L
Whale WR92%big bets
Drawdown48%max
Avg bet$832per market
Trades / day92.9pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$456
7 days+$1,026
14 days+$1,989
30 days+$2,212
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$2,298
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (93 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 110 +0.8% -8.8% 92% 0% -8.8%
≤30d 464 +0.6% -9.0% 91% 0% -9.0%
≤90d 497 +0.6% -9.0% 91% 0% -9.0%
all 497 +0.6% -9.0% 91% 0% -9.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover92.9 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.0% 0% -9.0%
10% -17.7% 0% -17.7%
15% ← realistic here -25.6% 0% -25.7%
20% -32.9% 0% -33.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 2% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
100% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +1% · $-wt +1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 92% (≥$1,141) strong on big bets
Persistence
early +1% → late +0% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
4.4 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$8 vs −$26 · ×0.29 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×3.03 per $1 lost it wins $3.03
Copy size
≥ $300 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

32d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$2,992
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)91%
Wins / losses453 / 44
Whale WR (big bets)92%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)497 / 497
History coverage32d ⚠
Avg bet$832
Trades / day92.9
Drawdown48%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 497 Trades
no open positions (1 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3PM ET Jun 17 $1,684 +$5 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 17 $1,683 +$2 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 17 $1,650 +$15 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 17 $1,665 +$17 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 17 $1,633 +$16 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 17 $1,589 +$30 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 17 $1,605 −$1 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 17 $1,588 +$16 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 17 $1,585 +$4 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 17 $1,568 +$16 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 17 $1,481 +$1 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 17 $275 +$1 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 17 $1,552 +$14 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 17 $1,551 +$2 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 17 $140 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 17 $1,535 +$14 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4AM ET Jun 17 $1,534 +$1 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 17 $188 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 17 $1,532 +$2 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 17 $1,518 +$14 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 17 $1,502 +$15 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 17 $1,507 −$4 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 17 $1,493 +$14 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 16 $2,180 +$6 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 16 $1,667 +$17 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4PM ET Jun 16 $100 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3PM ET Jun 16 $1,272 +$5 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 16 $1,661 +$2 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 16 $1,659 +$2 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 16 $194 +$1 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 16 $1,643 +$16 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 16 $1,628 +$15 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 16 $1,613 +$15 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 16 $1,596 +$16 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 16 $1,583 +$13 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 16 $1,567 +$16 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 16 $1,554 +$15 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 16 $1,537 +$15 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 16 $108 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 16 $1,516 +$21 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 16 $1,500 +$15 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 16 $1,487 +$14 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 16 $1,471 +$15 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11PM ET Jun 16 $1,471 +$1 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 16 $1,023 +$10 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 16 $1,429 +$29 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 15 $1,513 +$15 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1PM ET Jun 15 $701 +$1 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 15 $116 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 15 $1,496 +$15 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $1,540 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $138 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $6 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $622 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $47 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $999 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $210 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $495 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $495 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $444 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $37 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $110 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $551 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $379 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $464 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $110 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $138 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $792 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $207 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $495 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1,589 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $1,604 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $16 10h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records