trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 4PM ET | Down | 81¢ | 100¢ | $1 | $1 | +$0 (+23%) |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 9AM ET | Up | 73¢ | 0¢ | $0 | $0 | −$0 (-100%) |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 7PM ET | Up | 50¢ | 0¢ | $0 | $0 | −$0 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winner | Jun 12 | $1 | $0 | +38% |
| LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner | Jun 12 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs | Jun 07 | $2 | +$4 | +163% |
| Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Yandex (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage | May 27 | $2 | +$1 | +35% |
| LoL: LOUD vs LOS - Game 2 Winner | May 26 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| LoL: LOUD vs LOS - Game 1 Winner | May 26 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs Nongshim Red Force (+1.5) | May 25 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner | May 20 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 | May 20 | $9 | +$3 | +32% |
| Spread: Knicks (-6.5) | May 20 | $1 | +$1 | +103% |
| Cavaliers vs. Knicks | May 20 | $3 | +$1 | +42% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | May 19 | $2 | +$2 | +108% |
| Spread: Pistons (-4.5) | May 18 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| San Diego Padres vs. Seattle Mariners | May 18 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Fulham FC win on 2026-05-17? | May 18 | $1 | +$2 | +103% |
| Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-17? | May 17 | $3 | −$3 | -97% |
| LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner | May 17 | $4 | +$2 | +46% |
| LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 | May 16 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Miami Marlins vs. Minnesota Twins | May 15 | $1 | +$1 | +103% |
| Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A | May 13 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10? | May 11 | $2 | −$2 | -95% |
| Will FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw? | May 11 | $3 | +$1 | +23% |
| LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend | May 10 | $4 | +$5 | +112% |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-09? | May 09 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-04? | May 04 | $1 | +$2 | +194% |
| Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5) | May 02 | $1 | +$1 | +95% |
| LoL: Movistar KOI vs Team Vitality (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qual | Apr 30 | $7 | −$5 | -67% |
| LoL: G2 Esports vs Fnatic - Game 2 Winner | Apr 29 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| LoL: KT Rolster vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner | Apr 29 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs T1 - Game 2 Winner | Apr 29 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner | Apr 29 | $1 | −$1 | -91% |
| LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs T1 Academy - Game 2 Winner | Apr 28 | $2 | +$1 | +70% |
| Timberwolves vs. Nuggets | Apr 28 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Spread: Pistons (-3.5) | Apr 28 | $2 | +$2 | +90% |
| Spread: Celtics (-7.5) | Apr 27 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Spurs vs. Trail Blazers | Apr 26 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Pistons vs. Magic | Apr 25 | $3 | +$4 | +114% |
| Spread: Spurs (-11.5) | Apr 22 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| 76ers vs. Celtics | Apr 22 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Hawks vs. Knicks | Apr 21 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5) | Apr 21 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Spread: Celtics (-13.5) | Apr 19 | $4 | +$5 | +105% |
| Spread: Celtics (-12.5) | Apr 19 | $3 | +$2 | +90% |
| Hornets vs. Magic | Apr 18 | $11 | +$15 | +134% |
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winner | Apr 17 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Valorant: Pcific Esports vs Fnatic - Map 1 Winner | Apr 17 | $1 | +$1 | +104% |
| Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardians | Apr 17 | $38 | −$38 | -100% |
| Spread: Clippers (-4.5) | Apr 16 | $35 | −$35 | -100% |
| Spread: Clippers (-5.5) | Apr 16 | $25 | −$25 | -100% |
| Spread: 76ers (-1.5) | Apr 16 | $6 | −$6 | -100% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | +33.5% | +20.8% | 67% | 67% | +54.2% |
| ≤30d | 20 | -11.2% | -19.7% | 50% | 50% | -30.0% |
| ≤90d | 247 | -2.0% | -11.3% | 47% | 46% | -14.0% |
| all | 247 | -2.0% | -11.3% | 47% | 46% | -14.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -11.3% | 46% | -14.0% |
| 10% | -19.8% | 43% | -22.2% |
| 15% | -27.6% | 38% | -29.7% |
| 20% | -34.7% | 34% | -36.6% |