Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T22:53:44+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

7C
0x7c81…394f
crypto · 1375 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$29 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$28 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2
Realized−$28
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)81%
Wins / losses1115 / 259
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1374 / 1375
History coverage2d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day1819.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit89%
Chart Positions 1 History 1374 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$28
7 days−$28
14 days−$28
30 days−$28
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Down 94¢ 62¢ $2 $2 −$1 (-35%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$1 +7%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +6%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +16%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +9%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +20%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +19%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +11%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$3 -58%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +11%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +12%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +6%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +23%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +23%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +15%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +5%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +9%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $18 −$8 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +12%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +4%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +19%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +4%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +10%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +5%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -81%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $11 +$2 +14%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +9%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +4%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +5%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$1 +11%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +2%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$2 +23%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +15%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +11%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +6%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 92% −$37
other 8% +$8
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $2 0m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET SELL Up 97¢ $2 4m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $2 7m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 14m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET SELL Up 96¢ $3 14m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET SELL Up 97¢ $2 14m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $3 16m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $2 17m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $3 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $6 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $3 20m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $2 20m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $7 20m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $2 20m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $3 20m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $2 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $3 21m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $2 21m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $5 21m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET SELL Up 93¢ $2 24m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $1 27m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET SELL Up 37¢ $2 29m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET SELL Up 97¢ $2 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $2 29m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $2 30m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET SELL Up 97¢ $2 30m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $4 32m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET SELL Up 93¢ $3 32m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $3 32m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $1 32m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +37%
net ROI/market (all)-9.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1374 +0.4% -9.2% 81% 37% -10.0%
≤30d 1374 +0.4% -9.2% 81% 37% -10.0%
≤90d 1374 +0.4% -9.2% 81% 37% -10.0%
all 1374 +0.4% -9.2% 81% 37% -10.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1819.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.2% 37% -10.0%
10% ← realistic here -17.9% 11% -18.6%
15% -25.8% 1% -26.5%
20% -33.1% 0% -33.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.62 · official $1.26 (match) · 3500 history records