Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T23:49:41+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

7C
0x7c8f…0e26
crypto · 1812 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$234 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$226 · open +$8
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$8
Realized+$226
Unrealized+$8
Win rate (resolved)81%
Wins / losses1470 / 341
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1811 / 1812
History coverage7d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day255.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 1 History 1811 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$238
7 days+$199
14 days+$226
30 days+$226
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Up 0¢ 76¢ $0 $8 +$8 (+0%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Down 84¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Down 75¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Up 86¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Up 75¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Up 76¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Down 67¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 7, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Up 82¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Down 83¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Up 91¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Down 77¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 10, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Up 80¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Up 94¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Up 88¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 9, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Down 97¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$9 +86%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$3 +30%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$4 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$3 +26%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +15%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$6 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$5 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +22%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$5 +48%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$3 +29%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$4 +36%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$3 +29%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +20%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$5 +52%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$8 +75%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$6 +60%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$3 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$4 +38%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$3 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$4 +44%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +11%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 98% +$229
other 2% +$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $10 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $10 6m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $10 7m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $10 12m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $10 17m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $10 17m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $10 21m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $10 25m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $10 26m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $10 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $10 31m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $10 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $10 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $10 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $10 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $10 49m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $10 50m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $10 55m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $10 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $10 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $10 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $10 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $10 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $10 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +54%
net ROI/market (all)-8.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1786 +0.5% -9.1% 81% 54% -7.9%
≤30d 1811 +1.0% -8.6% 81% 54% -7.7%
≤90d 1811 +1.0% -8.6% 81% 54% -7.7%
all 1811 +1.0% -8.6% 81% 54% -7.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover255.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.6% 54% -7.7%
10% ← realistic here -17.4% 32% -16.5%
15% -25.4% 17% -24.6%
20% -32.7% 9% -32.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $8.05 · official $7.11 (match) · 3500 history records