Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T16:01:20+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

7C
0x7c99…2335
crypto · 530 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$28 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$127 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2
Realized−$127
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses287 / 243
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions0
Markets (closed)530 / 530
History coverage578d
Avg bet$33
Trades / day2.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 0 History 530 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$14
7 days−$12
14 days−$12
30 days−$37
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Down 33¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+203%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Up 45¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+122%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$4 +158%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$2 -80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$1 -77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$4 +159%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$1 -52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$1 -62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$1 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$4 +146%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$1 -55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$4 +146%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$1 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$4 +166%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$4 +152%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$4 +152%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$4 +190%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$4 +208%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$4 +146%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$4 +240%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$4 +146%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
economics 58% +$6
crypto 40% −$94
sports 1% −$13
other 0% $0
weather 0% −$12
politics 0% −$9
finance 0% −$5
tech 0% $0
culture 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $2 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET SELL Down 9¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET SELL Up 7¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET SELL Down 8¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET SELL Down 14¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET SELL Up 11¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET SELL Down 14¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 24¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET SELL Up 15¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET SELL Down 13¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET SELL Down 11¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $2 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET SELL Up 15¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $2 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $2 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET SELL Up 7¢ $0 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $2 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET SELL Down 15¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $2 12h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +27%
net ROI/market (all)-14.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 177 -4.7% -13.8% 23% 22% -12.8%
≤30d 191 -8.0% -16.7% 23% 22% -18.4%
≤90d 494 -4.6% -13.7% 53% 29% -10.0%
all 530 -5.1% -14.2% 54% 27% -10.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.2 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -14.2% 27% -10.2%
10% -22.4% 21% -18.8%
15% -29.9% 17% -26.6%
20% -36.8% 17% -33.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.99 · official $0.00 · 1612 history records