Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T20:14:19+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

7C
0x7c9e…db3d
other · 443 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$6,776 +86%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$2,838 · open −$774
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1,228
Realized+$2,838
Unrealized−$774
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses156 / 141
Est. fees paid−$17
Open positions163
Markets (closed)297 / 443
History coverage30d
Avg bet$18
Trades / day111.5
Drawdown4%
Kalshi-fit61%
Chart Positions 163 History 297 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$113
7 days+$223
14 days+$226
30 days+$2,838
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Elon Musk tweet "Hyperliquid" by June 30, 2026? Yes 4¢ 4¢ $77 $79 +$2 (+3%)
Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 6.0% and 7.0%? No 51¢ 72¢ $55 $78 +$22 (+40%)
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June? Yes 3¢ 3¢ $34 $35 +$1 (+4%)
Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2026 meeting? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $53 $31 −$22 (-41%)
Will Randall Arrington be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $24 $31 +$7 (+29%)
Will Donald Trump be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? Yes 2¢ 1¢ $51 $30 −$21 (-42%)
Will Trump sell 5k-10k Gold Cards in 2026? Yes 4¢ 3¢ $33 $26 −$8 (-23%)
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Italy / Vatican before 2027? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $16 $23 +$6 (+38%)
Will Jensen Huang be richest person on December 31? Yes 2¢ 1¢ $35 $22 −$13 (-38%)
Will Neuralink's valuation hit (LOW) $32.5B by June 30? Yes 5¢ 2¢ $43 $20 −$23 (-55%)
McDonald's CEO out by June 30? Yes 3¢ 2¢ $26 $19 −$7 (-28%)
Will Michael Jackson be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? Yes 3¢ 2¢ $32 $18 −$14 (-44%)
Amouranth divorced by June 30? Yes 5¢ 4¢ $19 $16 −$3 (-14%)
Will Tunisia recognize Israel by June 30? Yes 4¢ 2¢ $43 $16 −$27 (-63%)
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Turkey? Yes 2¢ 3¢ $11 $16 +$4 (+39%)
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by June 30? Yes 4¢ 3¢ $21 $16 −$5 (-26%)
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between -0.9% and -0.5%? Yes 8¢ 6¢ $21 $15 −$6 (-30%)
Will jL appear as an analyst at an S-Tier CS tournament in 2026? Yes 9¢ 10¢ $14 $14 +$0 (+1%)
Will Beyoncé perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? Yes 4¢ 4¢ $16 $14 −$2 (-12%)
Will Jalen Carter be traded? Yes 6¢ 7¢ $10 $13 +$3 (+29%)
Will Valve add Cobblestone to the map pool by June 30? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $16 $12 −$4 (-25%)
Will Gen.G make a roster change before July? Yes 5¢ 4¢ $16 $12 −$3 (-22%)
Kash Patel out by June 30? Yes 7¢ 6¢ $14 $12 −$2 (-14%)
Will Macklemore (Benjamin Hammond Haggerty) buy the Seattle Seahawks? Yes 7¢ 4¢ $21 $12 −$10 (-46%)
Will Cboe Futures Exchange self-certify sports event contracts by June 30, 2026? Yes 6¢ 6¢ $13 $11 −$1 (-11%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the Patek Index hit $103,000 (LOW) by April 30? Jun 14 $0 +$8 +3103%
Megan Thee Stallion and Klay Thompson engaged in 2026? Jun 14 $17 +$2 +10%
Spain snap election called by June 30, 2026? Jun 14 $31 +$7 +22%
Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switz Jun 14 $169 +$98 +58%
Will the Referendum on the Civilian Service Act be approved in Switzer Jun 14 $0 $0 -94%
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $7 −$2 -31%
Will Hasan Piker be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 22? Jun 13 $3 +$5 +194%
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30? Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T? Jun 13 $45 −$6 -13%
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30? Jun 13 $74 +$46 +63%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? Jun 12 $36 −$36 -99%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T? Jun 12 $32 −$4 -14%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T? Jun 12 $18 −$6 -36%
Will Elon Musk tweet "Hyperliquid" by August 31, 2026? Jun 12 $9 +$1 +6%
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 40 and 60 years in prison? Jun 12 $3 +$4 +147%
Will Trump meet with Keir Starmer in June 2026? Jun 12 $6 +$3 +62%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 4.5 Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 5.5 Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Will Ohio use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midte Jun 12 $11 −$1 -12%
Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June? Jun 11 $14 +$6 +44%
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June? Jun 11 $5 +$3 +53%
Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.50% and 2.99%? Jun 11 $8 −$2 -30%
Will D.K. Metcalf be traded? Jun 11 $8 +$6 +71%
Will Shakira perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? Jun 11 $28 −$1 -3%
Will Kyle Langford advance from the 2026 California Governor primary e Jun 10 $12 −$1 -8%
Will Ethan Agarwal advance from the 2026 California Governor primary e Jun 10 $8 −$8 -100%
Will Fred Simon be the Republican nominee for NV-02? Jun 10 $6 −$3 -54%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: B8 (-3.5) vs BIG (+3.5) Jun 10 $9 −$9 -100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 Jun 10 $7 −$6 -86%
Another Elon baby by June 30? Jun 10 $7 +$2 +28%
US announces Cuba oil sanction relief by June 30? Jun 09 $10 +$2 +16%
Pluto reclassified as a planet by June 30? Jun 09 $38 +$153 +399%
Forsen to get signed by an LCK prog org by Jun 30? Jun 09 $10 +$11 +108%
Will Neuralink's valuation hit (LOW) $37.5B by June 30? Jun 09 $17 −$9 -52%
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Melania Trump by June 30, 2026? Jun 08 $8 $0 -6%
Will Bangladesh recognize Israel by June 30? Jun 08 $47 +$33 +72%
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by June 30? Jun 08 $15 −$6 -40%
Will the next model released by xAI debut at a score of at least 1480? Jun 08 $14 −$14 -100%
Insurrection Act invoked by June 30? Jun 08 $6 $0 +5%
Will Illinois use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States m Jun 08 $9 −$1 -9%
Will Steve Cohen be the Democratic Nominee for TN-09? Jun 08 $9 +$1 +13%
Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $200B by June 30? Jun 08 $7 +$1 +18%
Will Neuralink's valuation hit (LOW) $35B by June 30? Jun 08 $88 −$3 -4%
Will OpenAI IPO by August 31 2026? Jun 08 $41 +$1 +2%
Lai Ching-te impeached by June 30? Jun 08 $4 +$5 +126%
DOJ reopens Powell investigation by June 30? Jun 08 $16 −$11 -72%
Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the June meeting? Jun 08 $1 $0 -34%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 53% +$1,711
politics 14% +$126
world 14% +$219
tech 7% −$21
sports 4% −$80
crypto 3% +$31
economics 2% +$81
finance 2% +$27
culture 1% −$33
weather 0% −$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Beyoncé perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? SELL Yes 4¢ $2 10m
Will Billie Eilish perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime s SELL Yes 4¢ $2 11m
Rainbow Six Siege: Help Us LFO vs Can You Be My Enemy (BO1) - Asia Pac SELL Can You Be My Enemy 10¢ $30 42m
Megan Thee Stallion and Klay Thompson engaged in 2026? SELL Yes 5¢ $1 44m
Megan Thee Stallion and Klay Thompson engaged in 2026? SELL Yes 5¢ $4 44m
Will jL appear as an analyst at an S-Tier CS tournament in 2026? SELL Yes 10¢ $5 45m
Will jL appear as an analyst at an S-Tier CS tournament in 2026? BUY Yes 10¢ $10 46m
Will jL appear as an analyst at an S-Tier CS tournament in 2026? BUY Yes 9¢ $5 46m
Will jL appear as an analyst at an S-Tier CS tournament in 2026? SELL Yes 9¢ $4 47m
Will jL appear as an analyst at an S-Tier CS tournament in 2026? BUY Yes 9¢ $8 48m
Will FalleN win a S-Tier event before June 30? BUY Yes 7¢ $11 49m
Will Paul Skenes win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award? BUY Yes 8¢ $8 49m
Will Anduril's valuation hit (LOW) $70B by June 30? BUY Yes 5¢ $6 50m
Will Shakira Austin have the highest blocks per game in the WNBA 2026 BUY Yes 8¢ $3 50m
Will José Ramírez record the most intentional walks during the 2026 ML BUY Yes 20¢ $1 51m
Will José Ramírez record the most intentional walks during the 2026 ML BUY Yes 40¢ $2 51m
Will José Ramírez record the most intentional walks during the 2026 ML BUY Yes 9¢ $14 52m
Will Kelly Ayotte win the 2026 New Hampshire Governor Republican prima BUY No 8¢ $4 52m
Will any AI model reach 1570 Coding Arena Score by June 30, 2026? BUY Yes 9¢ $9 53m
Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $20B by June 30? BUY Yes 2¢ $4 53m
Will Nyara Sabally have the highest blocks per game in the WNBA 2026 r BUY Yes 6¢ $3 54m
Will Alyssa Thomas have the highest assists per game in the WNBA 2026 BUY Yes 7¢ $3 54m
Kash Patel out by June 30? BUY Yes 7¢ $15 1h
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $86 in June? BUY Yes 4¢ $8 1h
Will Silver (SI) settle at $80-$90 in June? BUY Yes 6¢ $10 1h
Will Anduril's valuation hit (LOW) $75B by June 30? BUY Yes 3¢ $1 1h
Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $225B by June 30? BUY Yes 5¢ $10 1h
Will Cap launch a token by September 30, 2026? BUY No 8¢ $10 1h
Grok 4.4 released by June 30? BUY Yes 7¢ $4 1h
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by June 30? BUY Yes 3¢ $8 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +46%
net ROI/market (all)+53.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 51 +38.0% +24.8% 45% 37% +8.7%
≤30d 297 +70.0% +53.8% 53% 46% +36.6%
≤90d 297 +70.0% +53.8% 53% 46% +36.6%
all 297 +70.0% +53.8% 53% 46% +36.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover111.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +53.8% 46% +36.6%
10% ← realistic here +39.1% 40% +23.5%
15% +25.7% 36% +11.6%
20% +13.4% 32% +0.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,227.63 · official $1,227.77 (match) · 3500 history records