Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:31:30+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

7C
0x7cad…1287
crypto · 271 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$144 -10%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$135 · open −$10
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$135
Unrealized−$10
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses142 / 128
Open positions1
Markets (closed)270 / 271
History coverage3d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day89.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 270 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$170
7 days−$134
14 days−$134
30 days−$134
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-96%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$8 -70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$8 -75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$21 +198%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$10 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$3 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$4 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$13 +129%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$15 +140%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$4 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$7 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$12 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$17 +159%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$10 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$7 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$9 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$6 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$4 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$9 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$35 +331%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$14 +134%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$6 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$5 +50%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$144
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 12¢ $11 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $10 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET SELL Down 11¢ $3 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $10 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $10 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $10 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $10 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $10 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $10 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET SELL Up 2¢ $3 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 7¢ $11 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $10 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 15¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 16¢ $11 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $10 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +52%
net ROI/market (all)-20.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 270 -12.6% -20.9% 53% 52% -17.7%
≤30d 270 -12.6% -20.9% 53% 52% -17.7%
≤90d 270 -12.6% -20.9% 53% 52% -17.7%
all 270 -12.6% -20.9% 53% 52% -17.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover89.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -20.9% 52% -17.7%
10% ← realistic here -28.5% 48% -25.5%
15% -35.4% 43% -32.7%
20% -41.7% 33% -39.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.42 · official $0.42 (match) · 547 history records