Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T20:45:13+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

7C
0x7cbf…c53c
sports · 265 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$5,325 -13%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$6,396 · open +$312
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1,421
Realized−$6,396
Unrealized+$312
Win rate (resolved)40%
Wins / losses106 / 156
Whale WR (big bets)25%
Est. fees paid−$569
Open positions2
Markets (closed)262 / 265
History coverage52d
Avg bet$153
Trades / day10.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit88%
Chart Positions 2 History 262 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$95
7 days−$4,859
14 days−$3,431
30 days−$2,696
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $970 $1,297 +$327 (+34%)
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 7.5 Over 54¢ 48¢ $139 $124 −$15 (-11%)
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? No 34¢ 0¢ $121 $0 −$121 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 9.5 Over 39¢ 0¢ $247 $0 −$247 (-100%)
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays Philadelphia Phillies 51¢ 0¢ $216 $0 −$216 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Yes 18¢ 0¢ $297 $0 −$297 (-100%)
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score No 50¢ 0¢ $41 $0 −$41 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 6.5 Jun 14 $97 +$44 +46%
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 10.5 Jun 14 $46 +$51 +109%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score Jun 11 $41 −$41 -98%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 9.5 Jun 11 $251 −$247 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 11 $11 −$10 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 11 $11 −$10 -95%
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Team Liquid ID vs Geek Fam ID (BO5) - MPL In Jun 11 $11 −$1 -9%
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5 Jun 11 $145 +$129 +90%
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Jun 11 $304 −$297 -98%
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $123 −$121 -98%
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5 Jun 10 $264 −$142 -54%
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5 Jun 10 $140 +$125 +89%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 09 $219 −$216 -99%
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5 Jun 09 $105 +$110 +105%
Valorant: NAVI Junior vs REBORN - Map 1 Winner Jun 07 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 07 $26 −$26 -100%
Starodubtseva vs. Rybakina: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 Jun 07 $21 −$21 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on June 4? Jun 07 $5 −$5 -100%
Royer vs. Djokovic: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 Jun 07 $20 −$20 -100%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on Ju Jun 07 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-04? Jun 07 $5 −$5 -100%
Set 1 Winner: Hemery vs Kimhi Jun 07 $101 −$101 -100%
Zhejiang Lions vs. Shenzhen Leopards Jun 07 $9 −$9 -100%
Counter-Strike: Tricked vs Just Players - Map 1 Winner Jun 07 $101 −$101 -100%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants Jun 07 $101 −$101 -100%
Valorant: 2GAME Esports vs RED Canids - Map 1 Winner Jun 07 $7 −$7 -100%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group B Jun 07 $101 −$101 -100%
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Atlanta Braves vs. Mi Jun 07 $113 −$113 -100%
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cincinnati Reds vs. P Jun 07 $204 −$114 -56%
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Toronto Blue Jays vs. Jun 07 $111 −$111 -100%
Valorant: SwimTrek Blue vs Shopify Rebellion Gold (BO5) - VCT Game Cha Jun 07 $100 −$100 -100%
Washington Nationals vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Jun 07 $66 −$66 -100%
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs PlayTime - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $153 −$153 -100%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $82 −$82 -100%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $202 −$202 -100%
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $202 −$202 -100%
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs GenOne (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Jun 07 $107 −$107 -100%
Counter-Strike: UNiTY esports vs NAVI Junior (BO3) - United21 Playoffs Jun 07 $102 −$102 -100%
Map Handicap: FaZe (-1.5) vs NIP (+1.5) Jun 07 $102 −$102 -100%
Counter-Strike: paiN vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $207 −$207 -100%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? Jun 07 $343 −$218 -64%
Will Los Angeles FC win on 2026-05-17? Jun 07 $102 −$55 -54%
UFC Fight Night: Matt Schnell vs. Alessandro Costa (Catchweight, Preli Jun 07 $205 −$205 -100%
Crystal Palace FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 2.5 Jun 07 $509 −$509 -100%
LoL: Barça eSports vs ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $41 −$41 -100%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs M80 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $210 −$210 -100%
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-07? Jun 07 $715 −$715 -100%
Valorant: VARREL vs Gen.G Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 07 $103 −$103 -100%
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on Jun Jun 07 $5 −$5 -100%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 10.5 Jun 07 $100 +$113 +114%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 81% −$3,743
other 14% −$1,499
crypto 4% −$429
politics 1% −$229
economics 0% −$155
weather 0% −$22
world 0% −$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 7.5 BUY Over 54¢ $141 24m
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 6.5 SELL Over 100¢ $141 29m
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 6.5 BUY Over 68¢ $97 57m
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 10.5 SELL Over 100¢ $97 58m
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 10.5 BUY Over 47¢ $46 9h
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 2¢ $40 10h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY 39¢ $100 19h
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 2¢ $106 20h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score BUY No 50¢ $41 2d
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 2¢ $607 2d
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 2¢ $3 2d
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 2¢ $497 2d
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 9.5 BUY Over 39¢ $251 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 3¢ $11 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Up 25¢ $11 3d
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Team Liquid ID vs Geek Fam ID (BO5) - MPL In SELL Team Liquid ID 20¢ $10 3d
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Team Liquid ID vs Geek Fam ID (BO5) - MPL In BUY Team Liquid ID 21¢ $11 3d
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5 BUY Over 52¢ $145 3d
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 18¢ $304 3d
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? BUY No 34¢ $123 3d
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5 SELL Over 24¢ $122 3d
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5 BUY Over 50¢ $264 4d
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5 SELL Over 100¢ $265 4d
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5 BUY Over 52¢ $140 4d
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays BUY Philadelphia Phillies 51¢ $219 4d
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5 BUY Under 48¢ $105 5d
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-07? BUY Yes 32¢ $3 7d
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-07? BUY Yes 32¢ $712 7d
Counter-Strike: UNiTY esports vs NAVI Junior (BO3) - United21 Playoffs BUY NAVI Junior 32¢ $102 7d
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 10.5 BUY Under 46¢ $100 7d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +37%
net ROI/market (all)-21.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 49 -75.4% -77.8% 10% 10% -79.9%
≤30d 139 -22.9% -30.2% 38% 37% -22.8%
≤90d 262 -13.1% -21.4% 40% 37% -24.3%
all 262 -13.1% -21.4% 40% 37% -24.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover10.8 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -21.4% 37% -24.3%
10% -28.9% 33% -31.5%
15% -35.8% 30% -38.2%
20% -42.1% 22% -44.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,421.16 · official $1,427.22 (match) · 680 history records