Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T22:20:37+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

7C
0x7cc7…a2a4
sports · 352 markets active 2h ago
3.0score
+$370 +7%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$370 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge
Net worth$0
Realized+$370
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)60%
Wins / losses211 / 141
Est. fees paid−$32
Open positions0
Markets (closed)352 / 352
History coverage104d
Avg bet$15
Trades / day7.1
Drawdown48%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 0 History 352 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$31
7 days+$141
14 days+$150
30 days+$226
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Gen.G 77¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group B Spirit 49¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Down 56¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Passion UA (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1 Passion UA 31¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Down 60¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Virtus.pro - Game 2 Winner Xtreme Gaming 55¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Legacy 51¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: NIP vs NRG - Map 2 Winner NIP 54¢ $53 $0 −$53 (-100%)
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix - Game 1 Winner ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix 53¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs B8 - Map 2 Winner Natus Vincere 74¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Clippers vs. Pelicans Clippers 55¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner BetBoom Team $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Down 43¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX - Game 3 Winner Bilibili Gaming 62¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: G2 vs BIG - Map 1 Winner BIG $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 G2 20¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner PARIVISION 61¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winner Aurora Gaming 59¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: ex-MINLATE vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #20 Group Stage ex-MINLATE 16¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 - Map 1 Winner B8 57¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Lightning vs. Sabres Lightning 71¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Ohio State Buckeyes Ohio State Buckeyes 57¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Valorant: G2 Esports vs T1 - Map 2 Winner T1 87¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: B8 vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 GamerLegion 58¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Team Falcons 68¢ $44 $0 −$44 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $50 −$28 -56%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $15 +$13 +82%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $26 +$10 +39%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $40 +$8 +20%
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs Jun 13 $10 −$1 -12%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $71 −$70 -99%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $71 +$31 +44%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $30 −$5 -17%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $121 +$33 +27%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $41 −$15 -37%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $40 +$28 +69%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $31 +$18 +56%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $44 −$44 -99%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 13 $50 +$18 +37%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $21 −$16 -74%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $25 +$24 +95%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $74 +$35 +48%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $42 +$21 +50%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $30 +$12 +40%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $26 +$18 +68%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $40 −$40 -99%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $27 +$15 +55%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $5 $0 +10%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $20 −$20 -99%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $11 +$6 +58%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $20 −$20 -99%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $89 +$55 +62%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $7 −$6 -88%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $13 +$7 +52%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $40 −$9 -24%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $10 +$9 +88%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $30 +$13 +44%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $39 +$27 +69%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $30 +$9 +31%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $18 +$12 +70%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $30 −$30 -99%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $20 −$10 -51%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 11 $30 −$8 -28%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $68 +$15 +22%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $24 +$18 +73%
Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters Londo Jun 09 $10 +$8 +79%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $23 −$23 -99%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $20 +$10 +48%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs BIG - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $12 −$1 -11%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $48 +$3 +6%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs BIG - Map 1 Winner Jun 08 $21 −$1 -5%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $10 +$6 +60%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $21 +$13 +59%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $1 −$1 -97%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN - Map 1 Winner Jun 08 $37 +$2 +7%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 91% +$381
crypto 5% −$55
other 2% +$53
finance 1% −$9
politics 1% $0
tech 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Spirit 32¢ $22 1h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Spirit 71¢ $50 2h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner SELL FURIA 100¢ $28 2h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Vitality 100¢ $36 2h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner SELL Legacy 100¢ $29 2h
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs SELL G2 Esports 51¢ $9 2h
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs BUY G2 Esports 56¢ $10 3h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winner BUY Spirit 73¢ $30 3h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner BUY Legacy 69¢ $20 3h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winner BUY Spirit 77¢ $40 5h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner BUY FURIA 54¢ $15 5h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Vitality 98¢ $1 5h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Vitality 98¢ $1 5h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Vitality 98¢ $1 5h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Vitality 69¢ $23 5h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner SELL Vitality 100¢ $101 6h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner SELL Vitality 59¢ $25 6h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner BUY Vitality 70¢ $30 6h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner SELL Legacy 54¢ $20 6h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner BUY Legacy 54¢ $20 6h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage SELL Team Falcons 94¢ $141 7h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY Team Falcons 66¢ $101 7h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage SELL Team Falcons 59¢ $13 7h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner BUY Vitality 69¢ $71 7h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 2 Winner SELL Aurora Gaming 99¢ $0 8h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 1 Winner SELL Aurora Gaming 100¢ $68 8h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 1 Winner SELL Team Falcons 100¢ $49 8h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 2 Winner SELL G2 41¢ $14 8h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Falcons 66¢ $12 8h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY G2 72¢ $1 8h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +58%
net ROI/market (all)-10.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 53 -0.6% -10.1% 60% 55% -0.4%
≤30d 65 +5.0% -5.0% 65% 60% +2.9%
≤90d 244 -6.8% -15.7% 56% 54% -2.8%
all 352 -1.4% -10.8% 60% 58% -2.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover7.1 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -10.8% 58% -2.5%
10% -19.3% 53% -11.8%
15% -27.1% 43% -20.3%
20% -34.2% 27% -28.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 816 history records