Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:31:06+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

7C
0x7cd1…8d05
crypto · 523 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$1,660 +3%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1,660 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$1,660
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)70%
Wins / losses368 / 161
Whale WR (big bets)100%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)529 / 523
History coverage163d
Avg bet$122
Trades / day19.1
Drawdown53%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 529 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,491
7 days−$1,491
14 days−$1,491
30 days−$1,481
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
XRP Up or Down - March 31, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Up 14¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - March 28, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - December 29, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $246 $0 −$246 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - April 24, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 6, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - March 28, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - April 21, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - April 3, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $32 $0 −$32 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - March 28, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $184 $0 −$184 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - April 27, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - April 5, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - April 20, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - April 16, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $53 $0 −$53 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - April 5, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - April 22, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - March 31, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - April 14, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - March 30, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Up 14¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Up 13¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - April 10, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - April 27, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - April 4, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - April 16, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - March 26, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Down 86¢ 0¢ $51 $0 −$51 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - December 29, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $246 −$246 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - December 21, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $248 −$248 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - December 24, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $249 −$249 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - December 23, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $249 −$249 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - December 22, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $248 −$248 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - December 25, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $249 −$249 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$10 +219%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$11 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
XRP Up or Down - May 13, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET May 14 $29 +$5 +17%
XRP Up or Down - May 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET May 13 $5 +$5 +101%
XRP Up or Down - May 13, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET May 13 $39 +$2 +5%
XRP Up or Down - May 13, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET May 13 $5 −$4 -96%
XRP Up or Down - May 9, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET May 09 $8 −$7 -98%
XRP Up or Down - May 9, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET May 09 $28 +$12 +43%
XRP Up or Down - May 8, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET May 08 $11 −$10 -96%
XRP Up or Down - May 8, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET May 08 $34 +$3 +9%
XRP Up or Down - May 7, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET May 07 $5 +$6 +129%
XRP Up or Down - May 7, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET May 07 $1 −$1 -95%
XRP Up or Down - May 6, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET May 07 $2 −$2 -94%
XRP Up or Down - May 6, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET May 06 $3 −$3 -96%
XRP Up or Down - May 6, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET May 06 $5 −$5 -98%
XRP Up or Down - May 6, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET May 06 $9 −$9 -97%
XRP Up or Down - April 30, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Apr 30 $109 −$103 -94%
XRP Up or Down - April 30, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Apr 30 $43 +$16 +38%
XRP Up or Down - April 28, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Apr 28 $139 +$19 +14%
XRP Up or Down - April 28, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Apr 28 $6 −$5 -94%
XRP Up or Down - April 27, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Apr 28 $96 +$1 +1%
XRP Up or Down - April 27, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Apr 27 $38 +$5 +13%
XRP Up or Down - April 27, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Apr 27 $12 −$12 -93%
XRP Up or Down - April 27, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Apr 27 $33 −$31 -93%
XRP Up or Down - April 27, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Apr 27 $6 −$6 -93%
XRP Up or Down - April 27, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Apr 27 $11 −$10 -93%
XRP Up or Down - April 27, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Apr 27 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 27, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Apr 27 $9 −$9 -93%
XRP Up or Down - April 27, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Apr 27 $150 +$1 +1%
XRP Up or Down - April 27, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Apr 27 $275 +$3 +1%
XRP Up or Down - April 27, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Apr 27 $4 −$4 -94%
XRP Up or Down - April 27, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Apr 27 $5 −$4 -94%
XRP Up or Down - April 27, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Apr 27 $7 +$8 +122%
XRP Up or Down - April 26, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Apr 27 $3 −$3 -96%
XRP Up or Down - April 26, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Apr 26 $32 +$8 +25%
XRP Up or Down - April 26, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Apr 26 $185 +$2 +1%
XRP Up or Down - April 26, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Apr 26 $3 −$3 -93%
XRP Up or Down - April 26, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Apr 26 $15 −$15 -95%
XRP Up or Down - April 26, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Apr 26 $1 +$12 +938%
XRP Up or Down - April 26, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Apr 26 $105 +$1 +1%
XRP Up or Down - April 26, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Apr 26 $14 +$1 +5%
XRP Up or Down - April 26, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Apr 26 $10 −$9 -94%
XRP Up or Down - April 26, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Apr 26 $126 +$3 +3%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$3,149
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 7¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $7 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 3¢ $1 6h
XRP Up or Down - May 13, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $2 29d
XRP Up or Down - May 13, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $27 29d
XRP Up or Down - May 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $5 29d
XRP Up or Down - May 13, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $39 30d
XRP Up or Down - May 13, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $5 30d
XRP Up or Down - May 9, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $8 33d
XRP Up or Down - May 9, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $8 34d
XRP Up or Down - May 9, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $14 34d
XRP Up or Down - May 9, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $6 34d
XRP Up or Down - May 8, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $11 35d
XRP Up or Down - May 8, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $16 35d
XRP Up or Down - May 8, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $17 35d
XRP Up or Down - May 7, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $5 36d
XRP Up or Down - May 7, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $1 36d
XRP Up or Down - May 6, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET BUY Down 15¢ $2 36d
XRP Up or Down - May 6, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $3 36d
XRP Up or Down - May 6, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $5 36d
XRP Up or Down - May 6, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $9 37d
XRP Up or Down - April 30, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 11¢ $10 42d
XRP Up or Down - April 30, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 14¢ $14 42d
XRP Up or Down - April 30, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 15¢ $14 42d
XRP Up or Down - April 30, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 15¢ $14 42d
XRP Up or Down - April 30, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 15¢ $35 42d
XRP Up or Down - April 30, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 15¢ $21 42d
XRP Up or Down - April 30, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $10 42d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +22%
net ROI/market (all)-16.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 9 -64.5% -67.9% 11% 11% -99.2%
≤30d 11 -42.1% -47.6% 27% 27% -96.6%
≤90d 351 -15.7% -23.8% 55% 21% -13.0%
all 529 -7.6% -16.4% 70% 22% -7.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover19.1 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -16.4% 22% -7.2%
10% -24.4% 13% -16.1%
15% -31.7% 9% -24.2%
20% -38.4% 8% -31.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records