trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤90d | 4 | -93.9% | -94.5% | 0% | 0% | -99.9% |
| all | 16 | -38.9% | -44.7% | 38% | 38% | -28.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -44.7% | 38% | -28.9% |
| 10% ← realistic here | -50.0% | 38% | -35.7% |
| 15% | -54.8% | 19% | -42.0% |
| 20% | -59.3% | 12% | -47.6% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will England win on 2026-06-27? | Yes | 86¢ | 99¢ | $996 | $1,149 | +$153 (+15%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026? | Apr 19 | $5,646 | −$5,646 | -100% |
| Spurs vs. Nuggets | Apr 05 | $7,014 | −$7,014 | -100% |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch? | Apr 04 | $76 | −$57 | -76% |
| Pistons vs. Celtics | Apr 04 | $12 | −$12 | -100% |
| Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves | Dec 18 | $1,788 | −$1,712 | -96% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Dec 17 | $1,001 | +$787 | +79% |
| Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch? | Nov 25 | $1,589 | −$1,576 | -99% |
| Hawks vs. Clippers | Nov 25 | $1,173 | −$1,173 | -100% |
| Pistons vs. Pacers | Nov 25 | $3,068 | +$763 | +25% |
| Magic vs. Knicks | Nov 13 | $9,001 | −$8,986 | -100% |
| Nuggets vs. Kings | Nov 12 | $9,676 | +$3,225 | +33% |
| Warriors vs. Thunder | Nov 12 | $7,069 | +$2,605 | +37% |
| Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in November? | Nov 11 | $312 | −$57 | -18% |
| Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 202 | Nov 11 | $958 | −$901 | -94% |
| Lakers vs. Hornets | Nov 11 | $4,894 | +$1,545 | +32% |
| Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2025? | Nov 09 | $8,827 | +$4,876 | +55% |