Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:11:08+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

7C
0x7ce1…e9fb
crypto · 49 markets active 0h ago
2.0score
+$2 +4%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$2 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1
Realized+$2
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)94%
Wins / losses45 / 3
Open positions1
Markets (closed)48 / 49
History coverage16d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day3.4
Drawdown48%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 48 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1
7 days+$2
14 days+$2
30 days+$2
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Up 79¢ 96¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+21%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Down 80¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 -34%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +22%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 08 $1 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 08 $1 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 08 $1 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 08 $1 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 07 $1 $0 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 07 $1 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 07 $1 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 07 $1 $0 -12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 06 $1 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 06 $1 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 06 $1 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 06 $1 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 06 $1 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 06 $1 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 06 $1 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 06 $1 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 06 $1 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 06 $1 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 06 $1 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 05 $1 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 05 $1 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 05 $1 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 05 $1 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 05 $1 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 05 $1 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 05 $1 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 05 $1 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 01 $1 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET May 31 $1 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET May 29 $1 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET May 28 $1 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET May 28 $1 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET May 28 $1 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET May 27 $1 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET May 27 $1 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $1 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $1 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $1 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $1 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET SELL Down 95¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET SELL Up 55¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $1 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET SELL Up 95¢ $1 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $1 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $1 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $1 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET SELL Down 86¢ $1 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $1 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $1 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +23%
net ROI/market (all)-6.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 40 +3.7% -6.2% 92% 28% -6.1%
≤30d 48 +3.3% -6.6% 94% 23% -6.5%
≤90d 48 +3.3% -6.6% 94% 23% -6.5%
all 48 +3.3% -6.6% 94% 23% -6.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3.4 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -6.6% 23% -6.5%
10% -15.5% 10% -15.5%
15% -23.7% 0% -23.6%
20% -31.2% 0% -31.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.21 · official $0.69 (match) · 96 history records