Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T16:29:37+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

7C
0x7ce6…4fd1
crypto · 446 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$18 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$29 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$5
Realized−$29
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)95%
Wins / losses423 / 22
Open positions1
Markets (closed)445 / 446
History coverage66d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day7.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 445 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$24
7 days−$24
14 days−$24
30 days−$24
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Up 96¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Up 96¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Up 98¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Down 79¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Up 93¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Up 98¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Up 93¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Down 97¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Up 95¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Up 91¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Up 97¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Up 95¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Up 96¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Down 79¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Up 98¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +5%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$29
politics 0% $0
world 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 20m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 30m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 45m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 56m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)-10.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 440 -1.1% -10.5% 96% 1% -10.5%
≤30d 440 -1.1% -10.5% 96% 1% -10.5%
≤90d 445 -1.3% -10.7% 95% 1% -10.7%
all 445 -1.3% -10.7% 95% 1% -10.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover7.1 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -10.7% 1% -10.7%
10% -19.3% 0% -19.2%
15% -27.1% 0% -27.0%
20% -34.2% 0% -34.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $5.03 · official $5.03 (match) · 891 history records