| Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? |
May 27 |
$3,046 |
+$154 |
+5% |
| Starmer out by May 15, 2026? |
May 21 |
$3,011 |
+$89 |
+3% |
| Netanyahu out by April 30? |
May 02 |
$2,892 |
+$108 |
+4% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? |
May 02 |
$12,680 |
+$1,504 |
+12% |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? |
Apr 30 |
$11,853 |
+$36 |
+0% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31? |
Apr 06 |
$5,248 |
+$348 |
+7% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? |
Apr 06 |
$12,867 |
+$1,483 |
+12% |
| Will Sarah Knafo win the Paris mayor election? |
Mar 22 |
$17,800 |
+$458 |
+3% |
| Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? |
Mar 02 |
$10,038 |
+$462 |
+5% |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? |
Feb 05 |
$6,713 |
+$287 |
+4% |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025? |
Jan 10 |
$3,008 |
+$192 |
+6% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025? |
Jan 10 |
$3,486 |
+$184 |
+5% |
| Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2025? |
Jan 10 |
$4,151 |
+$446 |
+11% |
| Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31? |
Jan 10 |
$18,809 |
+$879 |
+5% |
| Will Polymarket US go live in 2025? |
Dec 10 |
$6,440 |
+$249 |
+4% |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? |
Nov 16 |
$7,886 |
+$1,501 |
+19% |
| Will Abigail Spanberger win the Virginia Governor Election in 2025 |
Nov 16 |
$16,846 |
+$829 |
+5% |
| Maduro out in 2025? |
Nov 05 |
$4,012 |
−$236 |
-6% |
| Will Shigeru Ishiba be the first leader out in 2025? |
Oct 27 |
$7,005 |
+$125 |
+2% |
| Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025? |
Oct 12 |
$10,157 |
+$843 |
+8% |
| US government shutdown by October 1? |
Oct 08 |
$5,095 |
+$905 |
+18% |
| Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? |
Sep 30 |
$15,900 |
+$820 |
+5% |
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting? |
Sep 17 |
$9,617 |
+$277 |
+3% |
| Will Sylvi Listhaug become the next Prime Minister of Norway? |
Sep 10 |
$8,144 |
+$1,472 |
+18% |
| Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July? |
Jul 09 |
$41,296 |
+$791 |
+2% |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran before July? |
Jul 02 |
$37,366 |
+$825 |
+2% |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president before July? |
Jul 01 |
$2,732 |
+$373 |
+14% |
| Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea? |
Jun 17 |
$18,220 |
+$765 |
+4% |
| Will Israel win Eurovision 2025? |
May 30 |
$5,801 |
+$199 |
+3% |
| Will Nicușor Dan win by more than 12%? |
May 30 |
$7,351 |
+$272 |
+4% |
| Houthis agree to end attacks on shipping before May? |
May 02 |
$1,929 |
+$358 |
+19% |
| Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister? |
May 02 |
$5,558 |
+$990 |
+18% |
| Will Mark Carney lose his seat? |
Apr 30 |
$7,413 |
+$374 |
+5% |
| Conservatives win majority in Canadian election? |
Apr 30 |
$7,440 |
+$560 |
+8% |
| Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days? |
Apr 30 |
$10,005 |
+$1,495 |
+15% |
| Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before April? |
Apr 01 |
$242 |
+$36 |
+15% |
| Israel retaliates against Houthis in March? |
Apr 01 |
$840 |
+$160 |
+19% |
| Was JFK assassination an inside job? |
Apr 01 |
$15,756 |
+$386 |
+2% |