Wallet analysis

2026-06-27T15:39:55+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
7C 0x7cfc…8e72 crypto 53 markets active 0h ago coverage 1d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (251 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$109 (-5%) realized −$109 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -4% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -26% what you keep after slip
Net edge-26%after slip
Net WR45%break-even
Win rate64%34W / 19L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$42per market
Trades / day251.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$207
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (251 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)-12.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 53 -3.7% -12.9% 64% 45% -19.6%
≤30d 53 -3.7% -12.9% 64% 45% -19.6%
≤90d 53 -3.7% -12.9% 64% 45% -19.6%
all 53 -3.7% -12.9% 64% 45% -19.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover251.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.9% 45% -19.6%
10% ← realistic here -21.2% 25% -27.3%
15% -28.8% 9% -34.3%
20% -35.8% 8% -40.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 8% · top 2 16% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -11% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
26% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -4% · $-wt -11% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -8% → late +0% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
3.0 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$5 vs −$19 · ×0.24 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.43 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$109
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)64%
Wins / losses34 / 19
Open positions0
Markets (closed)53 / 53
History coverage1d
Avg bet$42
Trades / day251.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 53 Trades
no open positions (7 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 27 $52 +$7 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 27 $41 +$12 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 27 $89 −$13 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 27 $32 −$1 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 27 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 27 $65 +$3 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 27 $8 +$2 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 27 $8 +$5 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 27 $6 −$1 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 27 $31 −$1 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 27 $14 +$4 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 27 $23 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 27 $26 +$6 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 27 $20 +$2 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 27 $61 −$1 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 27 $20 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 27 $31 +$12 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 27 $21 −$20 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 27 $3 −$2 -71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 27 $20 +$5 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 27 $23 −$3 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 27 $72 +$6 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 27 $72 −$20 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 27 $37 +$4 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 27 $51 +$9 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 27 $20 +$5 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 27 $67 +$3 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 27 $34 +$8 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 27 $20 +$3 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 27 $44 −$11 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 27 $15 +$5 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 27 $156 −$139 -89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 27 $69 −$65 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 27 $34 +$4 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 27 $123 +$3 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 27 $34 +$8 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 27 $221 −$65 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 27 $18 +$3 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 27 $6 −$3 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 27 $69 −$3 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 27 $60 −$7 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 27 $18 +$3 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 27 $53 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 27 $6 +$3 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 27 $18 +$3 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 27 $21 +$12 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 27 $54 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 27 $18 +$3 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 27 $72 −$3 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 27 $66 +$4 +6%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $55 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $20 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $20 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET SELL Down 23¢ $4 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $8 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $3 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET SELL Down 96¢ $53 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $20 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $20 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $56 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET SELL Down 1¢ $0 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $3 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $3 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $8 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $20 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $20 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $20 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET SELL Down 74¢ $17 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET SELL Up 45¢ $3 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $8 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $3 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $3 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET SELL Down 83¢ $30 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET SELL Up 15¢ $1 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $20 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $8 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $3 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET SELL Down 95¢ $20 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $20 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $68 27m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 258 history records