trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 16 | +6.5% | -3.7% | 50% | 44% | -11.8% |
| ≤30d | 17 | +0.2% | -9.3% | 47% | 41% | -14.3% |
| ≤90d | 17 | +0.2% | -9.3% | 47% | 41% | -14.3% |
| all | 17 | +0.2% | -9.3% | 47% | 41% | -14.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.3% | 41% | -14.3% |
| 10% | -18.0% | 35% | -22.5% |
| 15% | -25.9% | 24% | -30.0% |
| 20% | -33.2% | 24% | -36.8% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will USA finish last in Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage? | No | 90¢ | 95¢ | $18 | $19 | +$1 (+5%) |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 82¢ | 70¢ | $18 | $15 | −$3 (-14%) |
| Thailand strikes Cambodia by June 30, 2026? | No | 96¢ | 99¢ | $14 | $15 | +$0 (+2%) |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? | Yes | 74¢ | 94¢ | $11 | $14 | +$3 (+28%) |
| Will Tunisia finish last in Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage? | Yes | 59¢ | 80¢ | $9 | $12 | +$3 (+35%) |
| Will South Africa finish last in Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage? | Yes | 70¢ | 72¢ | $7 | $7 | +$0 (+2%) |
| Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by June 30, 2026? | No | 95¢ | 95¢ | $5 | $5 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Victor Wembanyama lead the 2026 NBA Finals in total rebounds? | Jun 14 | $4 | +$6 | +183% |
| NBA Finals: Game 1 Winner to be Champion? | Jun 14 | $4 | +$1 | +24% |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026? | Jun 13 | $8 | −$4 | -55% |
| Will Knicks lead the 2026 NBA Finals 3-1 through 4 games? | Jun 11 | $7 | +$5 | +83% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June? | Jun 09 | $10 | −$4 | -38% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in June? | Jun 09 | $3 | −$2 | -57% |
| Will Apple announce an Apple Smart Home Display during the WWDC 2026 k | Jun 09 | $5 | $0 | +7% |
| Will Tim Cook say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during the Apple W | Jun 09 | $20 | +$7 | +33% |
| Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on Ju | Jun 09 | $6 | −$6 | -100% |
| Will Michele Sodano win the 2026 Agrigento mayoral election? | Jun 08 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will Luigi Petrone win the 2026 Cava De' Tirreni mayoral election? | Jun 08 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Apple announce a standalone Siri app during the WWDC 2026 keynote | Jun 08 | $9 | +$1 | +12% |
| Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on Ju | Jun 08 | $2 | +$3 | +222% |
| Will Nicoletta Romano win the 2026 Casalnuovo Di Napoli mayoral electi | Jun 08 | $2 | +$3 | +122% |
| Will Knicks lead the 2026 NBA Finals 3-0 through 3 games? | Jun 08 | $8 | −$8 | -99% |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in June? | Jun 08 | $4 | −$1 | -32% |
| Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30? | Jun 06 | $3 | −$3 | -98% |