Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T02:50:18+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
7D 0x7d07…f50d crypto 133 markets active 0h ago coverage 2d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (68 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 2d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL −$46 (-0%) realized −$32 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR2%break-even
Win rate98%129W / 3L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$100per market
Trades / day67.6pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 2d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$32
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (68 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +2%
net ROI/market (all)-9.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 132 -0.1% -9.6% 98% 2% -9.7%
≤30d 132 -0.1% -9.6% 98% 2% -9.7%
≤90d 132 -0.1% -9.6% 98% 2% -9.7%
all 132 -0.1% -9.6% 98% 2% -9.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover67.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.6% 2% -9.7%
10% ← realistic here -18.3% 0% -18.4%
15% -26.2% 0% -26.3%
20% -33.4% 0% -33.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 5% · top 2 9% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
98% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -0% · $-wt -0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -0% → late +0% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$100 · ×0.02 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.89 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

2d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$32
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)98%
Wins / losses129 / 3
Open positions0
Markets (closed)132 / 133
History coverage2d
Avg bet$100
Trades / day67.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 132 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 15 $100 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 15 $100 +$4 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 15 $100 +$2 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 15 $100 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 15 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 15 $100 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 15 $101 +$9 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 15 $100 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 15 $100 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 15 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 15 $100 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 15 $100 +$3 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 15 $100 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 15 $100 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 15 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 15 $100 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 15 $100 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 14 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 14 $100 +$4 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 14 $100 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 14 $100 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 14 $100 +$2 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 14 $100 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 14 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 14 $100 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 14 $100 +$2 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 14 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 14 $100 +$2 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 14 $100 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 14 $17 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 14 $100 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 14 $100 +$6 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 14 $100 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 14 $31 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 14 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 14 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 14 $100 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 14 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 14 $100 +$3 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 14 $100 +$5 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 14 $100 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 14 $100 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 14 $100 +$2 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 14 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 14 $100 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 14 $100 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 14 $100 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 14 $100 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 14 $100 +$1 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $100 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $100 11m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $100 12m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $100 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $100 37m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $100 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $100 41m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $101 42m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $100 51m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $100 54m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $100 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $100 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $100 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $100 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $100 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $100 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $100 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $100 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $100 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $100 13h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $100 14h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $100 14h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $100 14h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $100 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $100 15h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $100 15h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $100 15h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $100 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $100 15h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 15h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 270 history records