Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T17:07:18+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

7D
0x7d09…75ab
crypto · 1185 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$173 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$172 · open +$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$31
Realized+$172
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)82%
Wins / losses969 / 215
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1184 / 1185
History coverage8d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day156.4
Drawdown85%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 1184 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$917
7 days+$150
14 days+$172
30 days+$172
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 10¢ 11¢ $30 $31 +$1 (+3%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Up 80¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Up 75¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Up 76¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Down 86¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Down 76¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Up 82¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Up 84¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +29%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +44%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +23%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +40%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +41%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +79%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +34%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +34%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +38%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +12%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$172
other 0% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $1 17m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $1 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $1 32m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $1 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $1 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $1 52m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $1 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $1 57m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $1 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $1 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $1 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $1 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $1 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +72%
net ROI/market (all)-10.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1085 -3.1% -12.3% 80% 71% -7.7%
≤30d 1184 -1.0% -10.4% 82% 72% -7.5%
≤90d 1184 -1.0% -10.4% 82% 72% -7.5%
all 1184 -1.0% -10.4% 82% 72% -7.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover156.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.4% 72% -7.5%
10% ← realistic here -19.0% 27% -16.3%
15% -26.8% 10% -24.4%
20% -34.0% 2% -31.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $31.03 · official $31.03 (match) · 3500 history records