trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 21 | -21.9% | -29.3% | 33% | 33% | -34.8% |
| ≤90d | 21 | -21.9% | -29.3% | 33% | 33% | -34.8% |
| all | 21 | -21.9% | -29.3% | 33% | 33% | -34.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -29.3% | 33% | -34.8% |
| 10% | -36.1% | 33% | -41.1% |
| 15% | -42.2% | 33% | -46.8% |
| 20% | -47.9% | 33% | -52.0% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 16¢ | 22¢ | $32 | $42 | +$10 (+31%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw? | Jun 18 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Exact Score: Austria 2 - 1 Jordan? | Jun 18 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Exact Score: Ghana 2 - 1 Panama? | Jun 17 | $55 | −$54 | -97% |
| Austria vs. Jordan: Jordan O/U 0.5 | Jun 17 | $30 | +$26 | +85% |
| Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $31 | −$30 | -98% |
| Portugal vs. DR Congo: Portugal O/U 2.5 | Jun 17 | $61 | −$60 | -98% |
| Lionel Messi: 1+ goals | Jun 17 | $30 | +$30 | +97% |
| Exact Score: Austria 2 - 0 Jordan? | Jun 17 | $34 | −$33 | -98% |
| Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Exact Score: Iraq 1 - 3 Norway? | Jun 16 | $31 | −$30 | -97% |
| France vs. Senegal: 1st Half O/U 1.5 | Jun 16 | $31 | −$30 | -98% |
| Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $31 | +$73 | +238% |
| Exact Score: IR Iran 2 - 1 New Zealand? | Jun 16 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Belgium vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 0.5 | Jun 15 | $30 | +$22 | +73% |
| Exact Score: Saudi Arabia 0 - 2 Uruguay? | Jun 15 | $31 | −$30 | -98% |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $20 | +$19 | +93% |
| Spain vs. Cabo Verde: 2nd Half O/U 2.5 | Jun 15 | $41 | −$40 | -98% |
| Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $10 | +$25 | +250% |
| Germany vs. Curaçao: 2nd Half O/U 2.5 | Jun 14 | $20 | +$21 | +105% |
| Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |