Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T21:47:05+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
7D 0x7d7c…9f84 crypto 1993 markets active 0h ago coverage 31d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 30d only
✗ bot/MM pace (65 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$1,056 (+4%) realized +$1,056 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -8% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -29% what you keep after slip
Net edge-29%after slip
Net WR53%break-even
Win rate70%1504W / 632L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$12per market
Trades / day65.2pace
Kalshi-fit70%portable
Net worth$5now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2,034
7 days−$1,595
14 days−$953
30 days+$127
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 95% +$2,104
other 5% −$54
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (65 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +53%
net ROI/market (all)-16.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 693 -40.3% -46.0% 46% 34% -37.4%
≤30d 2027 -7.9% -16.7% 70% 52% -9.0%
≤90d 2136 -7.7% -16.5% 70% 53% -9.8%
all 2136 -7.7% -16.5% 70% 53% -9.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover65.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.5% 53% -9.8%
10% ← realistic here -24.5% 30% -18.4%
15% -31.8% 18% -26.3%
20% -38.5% 10% -33.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 4% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
20% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -8% · $-wt -0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +4% → late -19% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$3 vs −$7 · ×0.41 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.98 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

31d coverage
Net worth$5
Realized+$1,056
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)70%
Wins / losses1504 / 632
Open positions0
Markets (closed)2136 / 1993
History coverage31d ⚠
Avg bet$12
Trades / day65.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit70%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 2136 Trades
no open positions (496 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 21, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
BNB Up or Down - April 28, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 15 $40 −$40 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 15 $77 −$77 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 22, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 15 $25 −$25 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 22, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 15 $11 −$11 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 15 $47 −$47 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 8, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 15 $26 −$26 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 2, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 26, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 24, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
BNB Up or Down - April 18, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 15, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 15 $38 −$38 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 19, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 20, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 8, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 15 $13 −$13 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 15 $8 −$8 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 19, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 10, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 15 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 10, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 7, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 15 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 15 $38 −$38 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 11, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 6, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 15 $9 −$9 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 22, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 15 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 15 $78 −$78 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 15 $7 −$7 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 24, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 17, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 19, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 24, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 29, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 18, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $90 2m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $1 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $1 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $87 2h
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $1 3h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $1 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $1 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $87 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $1 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $79 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $1 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $1 5h
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $91 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $1 6h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $1 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $1 7h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $1 7h
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $1 7h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $1 8h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $1 8h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $81 9h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $4.84 · official $4.84 (match) · 3500 history records