Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:14:45+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

7D
0x7d85…5c50
sports · 1866 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
+$5,498 +12%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$6,064 · open −$549
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$202
Realized+$6,064
Unrealized−$549
Win rate (resolved)34%
Wins / losses567 / 1104
Est. fees paid−$768
Open positions2
Markets (closed)1671 / 1866
History coverage52d
Avg bet$24
Trades / day54.1
Drawdown20%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 2 History 1671 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$798
7 days+$2,108
14 days+$4,565
30 days+$6,261
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 47¢ 46¢ $203 $201 −$2 (-1%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI T1 49¢ 0¢ $547 $1 −$547 (-100%)
Will Tochigi City FC vs. Reilac Shiga end in a draw? Yes 26¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Kasımpaşa SK vs. Galatasaray SK end in a draw? Yes 28¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Colorado Rapids SC vs. St. Louis City SC end in a draw? Yes 25¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Will Norway win on 2026-06-07? Yes 43¢ 0¢ $80 $0 −$80 (-100%)
Will US Lecce vs. Juventus FC end in a draw? Yes 21¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers 50¢ 0¢ $65 $0 −$65 (-100%)
Will Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs. FC Ryūkyū end in a draw? Yes 20¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Will Newcastle United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC end in a draw? Yes 26¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will SV Werder Bremen vs. FC Augsburg end in a draw? Yes 26¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will FC Utrecht vs. Fortuna Sittard end in a draw? Yes 20¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Blaublitz Akita vs. SC Sagamihara end in a draw? Yes 30¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Will Chicago Fire FC vs. FC Cincinnati end in a draw? Yes 22¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Club Bolívar vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia end in a draw? Yes 28¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Kim Tae-heum win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election? Yes 14¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 HANJIN BRION 4¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Washington Nationals vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks 42¢ 0¢ $68 $0 −$68 (-100%)
Will SG Dynamo Dresden vs. 1. FC Kaiserslautern end in a draw? Yes 24¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will FC Gifu vs. Matsumoto Yamaga FC end in a draw? Yes 29¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Will Kashima Antlers vs. FC Mito Holly Hock end in a draw? Yes 25¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Will Sporting CP vs. Vitória SC end in a draw? Yes 15¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Will CF Montréal vs. Orlando City SC end in a draw? Yes 25¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Will Montedio Yamagata vs. Thespa Gunma end in a draw? Yes 26¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Will Kristiansund BK vs. Viking FK end in a draw? Yes 20¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
KBO: NC Dinos vs. KT Wiz Jun 12 $130 +$77 +59%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $574 +$421 +73%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 11 $131 +$67 +51%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $219 +$72 +33%
KBO: Doosan Bears vs. Lotte Giants Jun 11 $101 +$76 +75%
KBO: Samsung Lions vs. KT Wiz Jun 11 $127 +$74 +58%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming Junior vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO3) - Asia Mas Jun 11 $5 −$5 -97%
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Seattle Storm Jun 11 $18 +$9 +52%
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 11 $25 −$25 -98%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $12 +$32 +275%
LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Saigon Dino (BO3) - Asia Masters Group C Jun 10 $4 −$1 -24%
Libema Open: Nikola Bartunkova vs Hanne Vandewinkel Jun 10 $5 $0 -8%
Will GV CD San José vs. CD Real Tomayapo end in a draw? Jun 10 $10 −$8 -76%
Will Bamin Real Potosí vs. Club ABB end in a draw? Jun 10 $10 −$8 -80%
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres Jun 10 $68 −$67 -98%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics Jun 10 $111 −$53 -48%
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights Jun 10 $78 +$63 +80%
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-09? Jun 10 $194 −$190 -98%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 10 $103 +$96 +94%
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-09? Jun 10 $448 −$416 -93%
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays Jun 10 $74 +$65 +88%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 09 $26 −$8 -30%
Will Ethiopia win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $81 −$80 -98%
LoL: FN Esports vs Verdant (BO1) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage Jun 09 $71 −$3 -5%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics Jun 09 $162 +$237 +146%
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 09 $56 +$73 +131%
KBO: Doosan Bears vs. Lotte Giants Jun 09 $51 −$50 -98%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 09 $46 +$27 +60%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 09 $46 +$39 +86%
Bahcesehir Koleji vs. Besiktas Jun 08 $61 +$44 +73%
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Paula Badosa Jun 08 $61 +$55 +90%
Libema Open: Magda Linette vs Kimberly Birrell Jun 08 $61 +$44 +73%
Will FathUnionSport win on 2026-06-08? Jun 08 $61 −$60 -99%
New York Mets vs. San Diego Padres Jun 07 $46 +$35 +77%
Washington Nationals vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Jun 07 $46 +$36 +79%
Will Italy win on 2026-06-07? Jun 07 $61 +$145 +237%
Will Denmark win on 2026-06-07? Jun 07 $81 +$25 +31%
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Atlanta Braves Jun 07 $46 +$31 +67%
Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins Jun 07 $46 +$43 +93%
Chicago White Sox vs. Philadelphia Phillies Jun 07 $46 +$27 +60%
Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals Jun 07 $46 +$33 +73%
Athletics vs. Houston Astros Jun 07 $46 +$44 +97%
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees Jun 07 $46 +$31 +67%
Will Liechtenstein vs. Cyprus end in a draw? Jun 07 $10 −$1 -11%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 07 $130 +$253 +194%
Will Fukushima United FC vs. FC Ryūkyū end in a draw? Jun 07 $10 +$25 +250%
KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. Lotte Giants Jun 07 $61 −$60 -98%
Will Zweigen Kanazawa win on 2026-06-07? Jun 07 $81 +$82 +101%
Will Tochigi SC vs. Giravanz Kitakyūshū end in a draw? Jun 07 $10 −$1 -11%
Will Zweigen Kanazawa vs. Thespa Gunma end in a draw? Jun 07 $10 −$1 -11%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 85% +$4,268
other 13% +$883
world 1% +$20
politics 1% +$423
crypto 0% −$80
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $206 1h
KBO: NC Dinos vs. KT Wiz SELL KT Wiz 100¢ $207 1h
KBO: NC Dinos vs. KT Wiz BUY KT Wiz 62¢ $130 2h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 46¢ $130 2h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 34¢ $63 5h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 47¢ $62 5h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 52¢ $173 9h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 47¢ $173 9h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 52¢ $162 9h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 47¢ $162 9h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 52¢ $158 9h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 48¢ $559 9h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 100¢ $372 9h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 93¢ $345 10h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates SELL Los Angeles Dodgers 95¢ $199 14h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates BUY Los Angeles Dodgers 62¢ $131 17h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 37¢ $122 17h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 94¢ $291 17h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 70¢ $116 23h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 36¢ $117 23h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 70¢ $103 23h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 36¢ $275 24h
KBO: Doosan Bears vs. Lotte Giants SELL Doosan Bears 100¢ $177 24h
KBO: Samsung Lions vs. KT Wiz SELL Samsung Lions 100¢ $201 25h
KBO: Samsung Lions vs. KT Wiz BUY Samsung Lions 62¢ $99 29h
KBO: Doosan Bears vs. Lotte Giants BUY Doosan Bears 56¢ $101 29h
LoL: Bilibili Gaming Junior vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO3) - Asia Mas BUY Bilibili Gaming Junior 3¢ $5 29h
KBO: Samsung Lions vs. KT Wiz BUY Samsung Lions 62¢ $27 33h
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Seattle Storm SELL Los Angeles Sparks 100¢ $28 33h
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Seattle Storm BUY Los Angeles Sparks 65¢ $18 34h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +34%
net ROI/market (all)+2.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 116 +36.1% +23.1% 57% 56% +17.3%
≤30d 720 +28.2% +16.0% 42% 42% +18.4%
≤90d 1671 +12.9% +2.1% 34% 34% +5.0%
all 1671 +12.9% +2.1% 34% 34% +5.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover54.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +2.1% 34% +5.0%
10% ← realistic here -7.7% 33% -5.1%
15% -16.6% 33% -14.2%
20% -24.8% 33% -22.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $201.54 · official $201.54 (match) · 3500 history records