Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T20:01:50+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

7D
0x7d86…a6f9
sports · 468 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$3,874 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$3,916 · open +$48
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$162
Realized−$3,916
Unrealized+$48
Win rate (resolved)38%
Wins / losses177 / 290
Whale WR (big bets)41%
Est. fees paid−$2,083
Open positions1
Markets (closed)467 / 468
History coverage173d
Avg bet$248
Trades / day9.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 1 History 467 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$124
7 days−$18,024
14 days−$15,605
30 days−$14,810
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 Under 37¢ 52¢ $114 $162 +$48 (+42%)
LoL: Bilibili Gaming Junior vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO3) - Asia Masters Group B Bilibili Gaming Junior 5¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Spurs vs. Knicks Spurs 46¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 2 Winner paiN 12¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
LoL: Bilibili Gaming Junior vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 2 Winner Bilibili Gaming Junior 11¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner T1 73¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs Weibo Gaming Youth Team - Game 1 Winner Weibo Gaming Youth Team 3¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $68 −$3 -4%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $115 −$36 -32%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $111 +$56 +50%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $69 +$45 +65%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $50 +$11 +23%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $238 +$94 +40%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $162 +$42 +26%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $165 +$30 +18%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $289 +$58 +20%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $201 +$19 +10%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Jun 12 $650 +$436 +67%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $1,157 −$413 -36%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $313 −$180 -58%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $230 +$1 +0%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $461 +$105 +23%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $121 +$40 +33%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 3.5 Jun 11 $102 +$15 +15%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $124 −$100 -80%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $1,030 −$193 -19%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $94 +$23 +24%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $42 −$21 -50%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $299 +$126 +42%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $50 −$10 -19%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 11 $99 −$22 -22%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $501 −$30 -6%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming Junior vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $20 −$19 -97%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming Junior vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO3) - Asia Mas Jun 11 $13 −$13 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 11 $26 −$26 -100%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $348 +$242 +70%
Counter-Strike: illwill vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Group S Jun 10 $273 −$155 -57%
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOUD - Game 2 Winner Jun 10 $552 −$18 -3%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 2 Winner Jun 10 $229 +$62 +27%
Counter-Strike: illwill vs G2 Ares - Map 1 Winner Jun 10 $28 −$1 -5%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 1 Winner Jun 10 $246 −$216 -88%
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 2 Winner Jun 10 $189 −$24 -13%
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs HMBLE - Game 2 Winner Jun 10 $70 −$2 -3%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Leo Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 10 $89 −$19 -21%
Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs Young Ninjas (BO3) - European Pro League Se Jun 10 $170 +$120 +71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 10 $26 −$1 -5%
LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Saigon Dino (BO3) - Asia Masters Group C Jun 10 $393 +$3 +1%
LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Saigon Dino - Game 1 Winner Jun 10 $300 −$84 -28%
LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Saigon Dino - Game 2 Winner Jun 10 $109 −$32 -29%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $439 +$38 +8%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $139 −$91 -66%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $247 +$345 +139%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $669 −$125 -19%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $440 −$113 -26%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $1,117 +$88 +8%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $550 −$161 -29%
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs Weibo Gaming Youth Team - Game 2 Winn Jun 09 $20 −$18 -91%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 97% −$3,302
other 3% −$515
crypto 0% −$52
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 37¢ $51 30m
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 37¢ $65 31m
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? SELL Yes 27¢ $66 40m
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY Yes 27¢ $68 51m
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 SELL Under 56¢ $83 53m
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 SELL Under 57¢ $85 1h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 59¢ $79 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag SELL Aurora Gaming 31¢ $70 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag SELL Aurora Gaming 34¢ $8 1h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 58¢ $99 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Aurora Gaming 44¢ $115 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner SELL BetBoom Team 100¢ $0 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner SELL Aurora Gaming 68¢ $41 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner SELL Aurora Gaming 66¢ $33 2h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner SELL Aurora Gaming 37¢ $41 2h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 31¢ $69 2h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner SELL BetBoom Team 100¢ $93 2h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner SELL BetBoom Team 82¢ $74 3h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 55¢ $61 3h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 67¢ $51 3h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner SELL BetBoom Team 100¢ $62 3h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 81¢ $50 4h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner SELL Natus Vincere 100¢ $173 4h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner SELL Natus Vincere 92¢ $151 4h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner SELL Natus Vincere 92¢ $5 4h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner SELL Natus Vincere 92¢ $5 4h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 60¢ $91 5h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 74¢ $147 5h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL G2 50¢ $47 5h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 62¢ $60 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-5.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 229 -31.4% -37.9% 23% 19% -42.7%
≤30d 359 -15.8% -23.8% 32% 27% -28.0%
≤90d 452 +3.9% -6.0% 37% 32% -17.0%
all 467 +5.0% -5.0% 38% 33% -12.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover9.4 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -5.0% 33% -12.8%
10% -14.1% 29% -21.1%
15% -22.4% 25% -28.8%
20% -30.0% 20% -35.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $161.76 · official $161.76 (match) · 1791 history records