Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:25:38+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

7D
0x7d9a…05e6
sports · 47 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$22,519 +7%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$25,322 · open −$1,005
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$9,690
Realized+$25,322
Unrealized−$1,005
Win rate (resolved)40%
Wins / losses66 / 101
Whale WR (big bets)58%
Est. fees paid−$3,060
Open positions18
Markets (closed)167 / 47
History coverage1d
Avg bet$6,532
Trades / day3244.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit92%
Chart Positions 18 History 167 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$25,322
7 days+$25,322
14 days+$25,322
30 days+$25,322
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ilkley: Keegan Smith vs Jacob Fearnley Jacob Fearnley 67¢ 65¢ $1,479 $1,431 −$47 (-3%)
Ilkley: Tatiana Prozorova vs Sinja Kraus Tatiana Prozorova 67¢ 100¢ $590 $877 +$287 (+49%)
Ilkley: Elizabeth Mandlik vs Dalma Galfi Elizabeth Mandlik 72¢ 65¢ $807 $725 −$83 (-10%)
Ilkley: Arthur Gea vs Mark Lajal Mark Lajal 61¢ 72¢ $589 $695 +$106 (+18%)
Libema Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Alex de Minaur Alex de Minaur 93¢ 98¢ $536 $568 +$32 (+6%)
Ilkley: Tristan Schoolkate vs Lloyd Harris Lloyd Harris 55¢ 50¢ $550 $500 −$50 (-9%)
Tucuman: Thiago Cigarran vs Valerio Aboian Valerio Aboian 79¢ 50¢ $790 $500 −$290 (-37%)
Ilkley: Lulu Sun vs Mary Stoiana Mary Stoiana 76¢ 100¢ $339 $447 +$108 (+32%)
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic Marin Cilic 61¢ 100¢ $265 $435 +$170 (+64%)
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Marcos Giron 59¢ 78¢ $325 $432 +$107 (+33%)
Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees New York Yankees 51¢ 62¢ $349 $424 +$75 (+21%)
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Ben Shelton 42¢ 22¢ $826 $422 −$404 (-49%)
Ilkley: Yunchaokete Bu vs Leandro Riedi Leandro Riedi 51¢ 50¢ $303 $297 −$6 (-2%)
Libema Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Magda Linette Magda Linette 93¢ 96¢ $266 $276 +$10 (+4%)
Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees Tampa Bay Rays 45¢ 38¢ $311 $269 −$42 (-14%)
Ilkley: Viktorija Golubic vs Katie Swan Viktorija Golubic 44¢ 45¢ $188 $193 +$5 (+3%)
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Billy Harris Billy Harris 71¢ 70¢ $194 $192 −$2 (-1%)
Ilkley: Elizabeth Mandlik vs Dalma Galfi Dalma Galfi 29¢ 35¢ $137 $167 +$30 (+22%)
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Billy Harris Dane Sweeny 28¢ 30¢ $150 $159 +$9 (+6%)
Ilkley: Keegan Smith vs Jacob Fearnley Keegan Smith 35¢ 35¢ $149 $149 +$0 (+0%)
Ilkley: Henrique Rocha vs Darwin Blanch Henrique Rocha 30¢ 56¢ $73 $135 +$63 (+86%)
Ilkley: Toby Samuel vs August Holmgren Toby Samuel 79¢ 84¢ $95 $101 +$6 (+7%)
Ilkley: Viktorija Golubic vs Katie Swan Katie Swan 41¢ 55¢ $73 $99 +$26 (+36%)
Ilkley: Toby Samuel vs August Holmgren August Holmgren 12¢ 16¢ $52 $70 +$18 (+35%)
Ilkley: Alicia Dudeney vs Ashlyn Krueger Alicia Dudeney 5¢ 10¢ $21 $39 +$18 (+83%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ilkley: Tristan Schoolkate vs Lloyd Harris Jun 12 $550 −$50 -9%
Tucuman: Thiago Cigarran vs Valerio Aboian Jun 12 $790 −$290 -37%
Ilkley: Yunchaokete Bu vs Leandro Riedi Jun 12 $303 −$6 -2%
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Marton Fucsovics Jun 12 $27 +$748 +2773%
Lyon: Lorenzo Giustino vs Daniel Rincon Jun 12 $14 +$795 +5779%
Bratislava: Norbert Gombos vs Jan Choinski Jun 12 $8 +$464 +5517%
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Alexandra Eala Jun 12 $8 +$800 +10544%
Modena: Xiyu Wang vs Laura Samson Jun 12 $261 −$36 -14%
Birmingham: Alexandra Eala vs Nikola Bartunkova Jun 12 $33 +$1,667 +5113%
Foggia: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Carole Monnet Jun 12 $41 +$196 +480%
Ilkley: Yunchaokete Bu vs Chris Rodesch Jun 12 $107 +$285 +266%
Cattolica: Michele Ribecai vs Franco Agamenone Jun 12 $28 −$97 -342%
Modena: Jeline Vandromme vs Angela Fita Boluda Jun 12 $62 +$669 +1072%
Cattolica: Andrea Guerrieri vs Dalibor Svrcina Jun 12 $271 −$610 -226%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Heather Watson vs Beatriz Haddad Ma Jun 12 $1 −$151 -17457%
Makarska: Elina Avanesyan vs Darja Semenistaja Jun 12 $49 +$156 +319%
Modena: Martina Trevisan vs Jennifer Ruggeri Jun 12 $93 +$424 +454%
Foggia: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Tyra Caterina Grant Jun 12 $6 +$7 +114%
Lyon: Thomas Faurel vs Florent Bax Jun 12 $98 +$851 +864%
Cattolica: Samuele Pieri vs Oriol Roca Batalla Jun 12 $35 +$380 +1086%
Bratislava: Taro Daniel vs Timofey Skatov Jun 12 $10 +$1,347 +12892%
Birmingham: Nikola Bartunkova vs Ashlyn Krueger Jun 12 $44 +$158 +362%
Modena: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Jazmin Ortenzi Jun 12 $37 +$372 +1009%
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Yannick Hanfmann Jun 12 $151 +$417 +275%
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? Jun 12 $15 +$216 +1413%
Libema Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Marton Fucsovics Jun 12 $83 −$2,979 -3577%
Will Morocco vs. Norway end in a draw? Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Ilkley: Veronika Podrez vs Tatiana Prozorova Jun 12 $14 +$550 +3809%
Ilkley: Harry Wendelken vs Jack Pinnington Jones Jun 12 $27 +$1,486 +5490%
Stuttgart Open: Roman Safiullin vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard Jun 12 $311 −$343 -111%
Bratislava: Federico Cina vs Jan Choinski Jun 12 $339 −$137 -40%
Libema Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Mees Rottgering Jun 12 $47 +$1,209 +2569%
Stuttgart Open: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Alexis Galarneau Jun 12 $32 +$3,277 +10388%
Lyon: Laslo Djere vs Kimmer Coppejans Jun 12 $108 +$588 +544%
Tyler: Andre Ilagan vs Yuta Shimizu Jun 12 $203 −$3,337 -1647%
Birmingham: Otto Virtanen vs Kamil Majchrzak Jun 12 $426 +$1,461 +343%
Cattolica: Liam Broady vs Raul Brancaccio Jun 12 $51 +$437 +861%
Ilkley: Taylah Preston vs Harmony Tan Jun 12 $69 +$305 +444%
Cattolica: Federico Bondioli vs Carlo Alberto Caniato Jun 12 $69 +$581 +836%
Libema Open, Qualification: Benjamin Bonzi vs Bernard Tomic Jun 12 $74 +$2,744 +3714%
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Paula Badosa Jun 12 $71 +$1,712 +2396%
Stuttgart Open: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Mattia Bellucci Jun 12 $154 +$974 +631%
Bratislava: Zsombor Piros vs Akira Santillan Jun 12 $18 +$1,636 +9025%
Lyon: Robin Bertrand vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Jun 12 $29 +$644 +2185%
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Terence Atmane Jun 12 $66 +$513 +782%
Tucuman: Juan Estevez vs Matias Soto Jun 12 $62 +$223 +358%
Foggia: Chloe Paquet vs Darya Astakhova Jun 12 $10 +$459 +4652%
HSBC Championships: Katie Boulter vs Leylah Fernandez Jun 12 $141 −$1,205 -854%
Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins Jun 12 $48 −$48 -100%
Will Stade Brestois 29 win on 2026-05-17? Jun 12 $17 −$17 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 85% +$5,637
other 15% +$5,023
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ilkley: Alicia Dudeney vs Ashlyn Krueger BUY Alicia Dudeney 16¢ $1 3m
Ilkley: Elizabeth Mandlik vs Dalma Galfi BUY Dalma Galfi 42¢ $1 3m
Ilkley: Viktorija Golubic vs Katie Swan BUY Viktorija Golubic 34¢ $5 3m
Ilkley: Elizabeth Mandlik vs Dalma Galfi BUY Dalma Galfi 42¢ $3 4m
Ilkley: Elizabeth Mandlik vs Dalma Galfi BUY Dalma Galfi 42¢ $2 4m
Ilkley: Toby Samuel vs August Holmgren BUY August Holmgren 9¢ $9 4m
Ilkley: Henrique Rocha vs Darwin Blanch BUY Henrique Rocha 34¢ $2 4m
Ilkley: Henrique Rocha vs Darwin Blanch BUY Henrique Rocha 34¢ $2 4m
Ilkley: Henrique Rocha vs Darwin Blanch BUY Henrique Rocha 34¢ $2 4m
Ilkley: Henrique Rocha vs Darwin Blanch BUY Henrique Rocha 34¢ $2 4m
Ilkley: Elizabeth Mandlik vs Dalma Galfi BUY Dalma Galfi 38¢ $1 4m
Ilkley: Henrique Rocha vs Darwin Blanch BUY Henrique Rocha 34¢ $3 4m
Ilkley: Henrique Rocha vs Darwin Blanch BUY Darwin Blanch 65¢ $476 4m
Ilkley: Henrique Rocha vs Darwin Blanch BUY Darwin Blanch 67¢ $335 5m
Ilkley: Keegan Smith vs Jacob Fearnley BUY Keegan Smith 34¢ $16 5m
Ilkley: Elizabeth Mandlik vs Dalma Galfi BUY Elizabeth Mandlik 77¢ $770 6m
Ilkley: Elizabeth Mandlik vs Dalma Galfi BUY Dalma Galfi 21¢ $2 6m
Ilkley: Alicia Dudeney vs Ashlyn Krueger BUY Ashlyn Krueger 93¢ $19 8m
Ilkley: Viktorija Golubic vs Katie Swan BUY Viktorija Golubic 38¢ $1 8m
Ilkley: Elizabeth Mandlik vs Dalma Galfi BUY Dalma Galfi 27¢ $27 8m
Ilkley: Elizabeth Mandlik vs Dalma Galfi BUY Dalma Galfi 27¢ $0 9m
Ilkley: Viktorija Golubic vs Katie Swan BUY Viktorija Golubic 37¢ $17 9m
Ilkley: Henrique Rocha vs Darwin Blanch BUY Darwin Blanch 69¢ $111 9m
Ilkley: Viktorija Golubic vs Katie Swan BUY Viktorija Golubic 36¢ $2 9m
Ilkley: Elizabeth Mandlik vs Dalma Galfi BUY Dalma Galfi 20¢ $23 9m
Ilkley: Henrique Rocha vs Darwin Blanch BUY Darwin Blanch 69¢ $45 9m
Ilkley: Elizabeth Mandlik vs Dalma Galfi BUY Dalma Galfi 20¢ $9 9m
Ilkley: Henrique Rocha vs Darwin Blanch BUY Henrique Rocha 29¢ $251 10m
Ilkley: Henrique Rocha vs Darwin Blanch BUY Henrique Rocha 29¢ $39 10m
Ilkley: Elizabeth Mandlik vs Dalma Galfi BUY Dalma Galfi 19¢ $2 11m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +34%
net ROI/market (all)+303.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 167 +346.4% +303.9% 40% 34% +0.5%
≤30d 167 +346.4% +303.9% 40% 34% +0.5%
≤90d 167 +346.4% +303.9% 40% 34% +0.5%
all 167 +346.4% +303.9% 40% 34% +0.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3244.3 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +303.9% 34% +0.5%
10% +265.3% 32% -9.1%
15% ← realistic here +230.0% 31% -17.9%
20% +197.6% 31% -25.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $9,689.61 · official $9,660.13 (match) · 3500 history records