Wallet analysis

2026-06-23T03:24:06+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2.5
score
7D 0x7da3…742e crypto 256 markets active 0h ago coverage 7d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$180 (+3%) realized +$180 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +6% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -18% what you keep after slip
Net edge-18%after slip
Net WR57%break-even
Win rate89%228W / 28L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$21per market
Trades / day38.1pace
Kalshi-fit82%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$30
7 days+$62
14 days+$62
30 days+$62
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 85% +$411
other 15% −$348
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +57%
net ROI/market (all)-4.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 256 +6.1% -4.0% 89% 57% -8.5%
≤30d 256 +6.1% -4.0% 89% 57% -8.5%
≤90d 256 +6.1% -4.0% 89% 57% -8.5%
all 256 +6.1% -4.0% 89% 57% -8.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover38.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -4.0% 57% -8.5%
10% ← realistic here -13.2% 20% -17.2%
15% -21.6% 10% -25.2%
20% -29.3% 5% -32.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 7% · top 2 11% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
30% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +6% · $-wt +1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +12% → late -0% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$4 vs −$28 · ×0.13 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.08 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

7d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$180
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)89%
Wins / losses228 / 28
Open positions0
Markets (closed)256 / 256
History coverage7d
Avg bet$21
Trades / day38.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit82%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 256 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 23 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 23 $51 −$51 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 23 $51 −$51 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 23 $50 +$7 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 23 $51 +$9 +18%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 23 $50 +$5 +9%
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 23 $42 +$2 +6%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 23 $50 +$5 +9%
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 23 $50 +$4 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 22 $50 +$4 +7%
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 22 $50 +$6 +12%
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 22 $4 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 22 $50 +$5 +9%
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 22 $51 +$13 +26%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 22 $51 +$16 +32%
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 22 $50 +$4 +8%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 22 $50 +$5 +9%
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 22 $27 +$5 +18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 22 $51 +$10 +19%
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 22 $50 +$4 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 22 $52 +$61 +117%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 22 $17 +$2 +14%
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 22 $50 +$6 +12%
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 22 $50 +$5 +9%
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 22 $13 +$3 +20%
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 22 $50 +$4 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 22 $51 +$10 +20%
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 22 $50 +$7 +15%
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 22 $15 −$15 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 22 $51 −$51 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 22, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 22 $51 −$51 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 22 $38 +$11 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 22 $50 +$5 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 22 $51 +$31 +60%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 22 $50 +$5 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 22 $51 +$19 +38%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 22 $50 +$5 +9%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 22 $51 +$9 +18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 22 $51 +$14 +28%
BNB Up or Down - June 21, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 22 $50 −$50 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 21, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 22 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 22 $50 +$4 +8%
BNB Up or Down - June 21, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 22 $50 +$5 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 21, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 22 $50 +$8 +15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 21 $50 +$4 +7%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 21, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 21 $51 +$19 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 21 $51 +$28 +55%
Solana Up or Down - June 21, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 21 $15 +$1 +6%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 21, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 21 $12 +$1 +8%
XRP Up or Down - June 21, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 21 $50 +$3 +6%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $51 14m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $50 49m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $51 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $51 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $50 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $50 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $42 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $50 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $50 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $50 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $4 4h
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $4 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $50 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $51 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $51 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $50 5h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $50 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $27 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $51 7h
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $50 9h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $52 9h
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $50 9h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $17 9h
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $50 10h
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $13 10h
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $50 11h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $51 11h
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $50 11h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 22, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $51 11h
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $38 11h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 517 history records