Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T12:25:59+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

7D
0x7da7…aa22
crypto · 74 markets active 0h ago
0.5score
−$3 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$3 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$3
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)56%
Wins / losses40 / 32
Open positions1
Markets (closed)72 / 74
History coverage72d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day1.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit85%
Chart Positions 1 History 72 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$6
7 days+$2
14 days+$2
30 days+$2
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Down 50¢ 2¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-97%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 3, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 3, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Up 72¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 3, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +129%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 11 $2 +$2 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 10 $1 +$1 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 10 $1 +$1 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 10 $1 +$1 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 10 $1 +$1 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 10 $1 +$1 +57%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 80% +$1
other 20% −$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $1 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $1 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $1 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $1 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $2 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +56%
net ROI/market (all)-6.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 61 +8.7% -1.7% 56% 56% -6.7%
≤30d 61 +8.7% -1.7% 56% 56% -6.7%
≤90d 72 +3.9% -6.0% 56% 56% -12.3%
all 72 +3.9% -6.0% 56% 56% -12.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.1 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -6.0% 56% -12.3%
10% -15.0% 54% -20.7%
15% -23.2% 53% -28.4%
20% -30.7% 49% -35.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.03 · official $0.03 (match) · 122 history records