trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 2 | -28.2% | -35.0% | 50% | 50% | -84.7% |
| ≤90d | 10 | -14.4% | -22.5% | 80% | 10% | -81.2% |
| all | 13 | -10.9% | -19.4% | 85% | 8% | -76.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -19.4% | 8% | -76.2% |
| 10% | -27.1% | 8% | -78.5% |
| 15% | -34.2% | 8% | -80.6% |
| 20% | -40.6% | 0% | -82.5% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23? | Yes | 64¢ | 64¢ | $61 | $60 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 02 | $264 | −$261 | -99% |
| Hawks vs. Knicks | May 25 | $35 | +$15 | +44% |
| No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil's March 2026 meeting? | Apr 28 | $8 | $0 | +5% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31? | Apr 28 | $9 | $0 | +2% |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran by December 31, 2026? | Apr 28 | $10 | $0 | +0% |
| Will global temperature increase by more than 1.19ºC in January 2026? | Apr 28 | $11 | $0 | +2% |
| Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? | Apr 28 | $11 | $0 | +2% |
| Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by February 28? | Apr 28 | $12 | $0 | +0% |
| Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31? | Apr 28 | $16 | $0 | +2% |
| Hawks vs. Knicks | Apr 20 | $240 | −$238 | -99% |
| Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap | Feb 03 | $16 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Amazon be the second-largest company in the world by market cap o | Feb 03 | $16 | $0 | +0% |
| Will XRP reach $2.60 in December? | Jan 09 | $13 | $0 | +0% |
| Market | side | price | size | when |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23? | BUY Yes | 64¢ | $61 | 1h |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | BUY Spurs | 64¢ | $264 | 21d |
| Hawks vs. Knicks | BUY Knicks | 69¢ | $35 | 56d |
| Hawks vs. Knicks | BUY Knicks | 68¢ | $240 | 64d |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31? | BUY No | 98¢ | $9 | 98d |
| Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31? | BUY No | 98¢ | $16 | 106d |
| No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil's March 2026 meeting? | BUY No | 96¢ | $8 | 112d |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran by December 31, 2026? | BUY Yes | 100¢ | $10 | 115d |
| Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by February 28? | BUY No | 100¢ | $12 | 119d |
| Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? | BUY No | 98¢ | $11 | 132d |
| Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap | BUY Yes | 99¢ | $16 | 147d |
| Will global temperature increase by more than 1.19ºC in January 2026? | BUY No | 98¢ | $11 | 152d |
| Will Amazon be the second-largest company in the world by market cap o | BUY No | 100¢ | $16 | 165d |
| Will XRP reach $2.60 in December? | BUY No | 100¢ | $13 | 178d |