Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:41:07+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

7D
0x7dbd…e1e3
sports · 204 markets active 0h ago
1.5score
−$3,510 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$3,396 · open −$113
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2,174
Realized−$3,396
Unrealized−$113
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses102 / 101
Whale WR (big bets)49%
Est. fees paid−$2,697
Open positions1
Markets (closed)203 / 204
History coverage40d
Avg bet$715
Trades / day12.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 1 History 203 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1,891
7 days+$2,673
14 days−$2,406
30 days−$3,591
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 5¢ 4¢ $2,287 $2,174 −$113 (-5%)
Hamburg European Open: Luciano Darderi vs Yannick Hanfmann Yannick Hanfmann 44¢ 0¢ $150 $0 −$150 (-100%)
Roland Garros WTA: Lilli Tagger vs Xinyu Wang Lilli Tagger 33¢ 0¢ $364 $0 −$364 (-100%)
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Elina Svitolina Coco Gauff 59¢ 0¢ $156 $0 −$156 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Matteo Berrettini Juan Manuel Cerundolo 32¢ 0¢ $549 $0 −$549 (-100%)
Hamburg European Open: Hugo Gaston vs Karen Khachanov Hugo Gaston 47¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Tomas Machac vs Zizou Bergs Zizou Bergs 32¢ 0¢ $280 $0 −$280 (-100%)
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Rafael Jodar vs Luciano Darderi Rafael Jodar 47¢ 0¢ $220 $0 −$220 (-100%)
Roland Garros WTA: Coco Gauff vs Anastasia Potapova Coco Gauff 66¢ 0¢ $168 $0 −$168 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Thanasi Kokkinakis vs Pablo Carreno Busta Thanasi Kokkinakis 29¢ 0¢ $873 $0 −$873 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Nishesh Basavareddy Taylor Fritz 60¢ 0¢ $340 $0 −$340 (-100%)
Libema Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Marton Fucsovics Hubert Hurkacz 76¢ 0¢ $329 $0 −$329 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Hamad Medjedovic Hamad Medjedovic 30¢ 0¢ $866 $0 −$866 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5PM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $353 $0 −$353 (-100%)
Aix en Provence: Zizou Bergs vs Alejandro Tabilo Zizou Bergs 31¢ 0¢ $65 $0 −$65 (-100%)
Perugia: Henrique Rocha vs Remy Bertola Remy Bertola 39¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Flavio Cobolli Felix Auger-Aliassime 35¢ 0¢ $548 $0 −$548 (-100%)
Valencia: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Zizou Bergs Roberto Bautista Agut 59¢ 0¢ $105 $0 −$105 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Jaume Munar vs Hubert Hurkacz Jaume Munar 15¢ 0¢ $545 $0 −$545 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Thiago Agustin Tirante Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 49¢ 0¢ $220 $0 −$220 (-100%)
Hamburg European Open, Qualification: Mika Petkovic vs Arthur Gea Mika Petkovic 54¢ 0¢ $110 $0 −$110 (-100%)
Bordeaux: Raphael Collignon vs Tallon Griekspoor Tallon Griekspoor 20¢ 0¢ $63 $0 −$63 (-100%)
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Tallon Griekspoor vs Alexander Blockx Tallon Griekspoor 35¢ 0¢ $444 $0 −$444 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Marton Fucsovics vs Matteo Berrettini Marton Fucsovics 47¢ 0¢ $1,105 $0 −$1,105 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Libema Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Alex de Minaur Jun 12 $1,004 +$132 +13%
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard Jun 12 $102 +$145 +142%
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarino Jun 12 $507 $0 +0%
Tucuman: Federico Coria vs Andrea Collarini Jun 11 $61 −$8 -13%
Modena: Lucia Bronzetti vs Julia Grabher Jun 11 $973 +$92 +10%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $1,004 −$8 -1%
Stuttgart Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Nick Kyrgios Jun 11 $498 +$510 +102%
Libema Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Arthur Rinderknech Jun 11 $800 −$76 -10%
Stuttgart Open: Rinky Hijikata vs Frances Tiafoe Jun 11 $570 +$231 +41%
Libema Open: Ugo Humbert vs Benjamin Bonzi Jun 11 $708 +$30 +4%
Stuttgart Open: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Alexander Bublik Jun 10 $901 +$412 +46%
HSBC Championships: Victoria Mboko vs Karolina Pliskova Jun 10 $503 +$398 +79%
Modena: Laura Samson vs Darja Semenistaja Jun 10 $484 +$20 +4%
Libema Open: Panna Udvardy vs Daria Snigur Jun 10 $470 +$12 +2%
Ilkley: Yunchaokete Bu vs Chris Rodesch Jun 10 $567 −$96 -17%
Libema Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Marton Fucsovics Jun 10 $504 −$426 -84%
Libema Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Botic van de Zandschulp Jun 10 $996 −$11 -1%
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Yannick Hanfmann Jun 10 $1,307 +$106 +8%
Libema Open: Thijs Boogaard vs Yibing Wu Jun 10 $1,054 −$320 -30%
Stuttgart Open: Nick Kyrgios vs Corentin Moutet Jun 09 $405 +$250 +62%
Stuttgart Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Frances Tiafoe Jun 09 $409 −$2 -0%
Libema Open: Gabriel Diallo vs Adrian Mannarino Jun 09 $284 +$218 +77%
Stuttgart Open: Quentin Halys vs Sho Shimabukuro Jun 09 $809 +$466 +58%
HSBC Championships: Qinwen Zheng vs Jaqueline Cristian Jun 08 $506 +$313 +62%
Libema Open: Marin Cilic vs Denis Shapovalov Jun 08 $503 −$500 -99%
Stuttgart Open: Pierre-Hugues Herbert vs Martin Landaluce Jun 08 $611 +$888 +145%
Stuttgart Open: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Mattia Bellucci Jun 08 $911 +$202 +22%
Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Jun 07 $506 −$94 -19%
Perugia: Henrique Rocha vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Jun 07 $753 −$250 -33%
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev Jun 07 $3,387 +$482 +14%
UFC Fight Night: Belal Muhammad vs. Gabriel Bonfim (Welterweight, Main Jun 07 $10 +$9 +93%
UFC Fight Night: Junior Tafa vs. Iwo Baraniewski (Light Heavyweight, M Jun 07 $981 +$252 +26%
UFC Fight Night: Marcus McGhee vs. John Yannis (Bantamweight, Prelims) Jun 06 $1,107 +$302 +27%
UFC Fight Night: Bruno Silva vs. Édgar Cháirez (Flyweight, Prelims) Jun 06 $375 +$330 +88%
UFC Fight Night: Yuneisy Duben vs. Jeisla Chaves (Women's Flyweight, P Jun 06 $10 +$4 +42%
Perugia: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Andrea Pellegrino Jun 06 $204 +$127 +62%
Birmingham: Arthur Fery vs Yunchaokete Bu Jun 06 $606 +$133 +22%
Makarska: Sara Sorribes Tormo vs Maria Timofeeva Jun 06 $90 +$10 +11%
Makarska: Elina Avanesyan vs Darja Semenistaja Jun 06 $886 +$85 +10%
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open? Jun 06 $1,257 −$139 -11%
Libema Open, Qualification: Coleman Wong vs James McCabe Jun 06 $557 +$349 +63%
Birmingham: Nikola Bartunkova vs Ashlyn Krueger Jun 06 $609 −$52 -9%
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Mirra Andreeva Jun 06 $615 −$498 -81%
Tyler: Henry Searle vs Karl Poling Jun 05 $275 −$194 -71%
Tyler: Andre Ilagan vs Yuta Shimizu Jun 05 $509 +$230 +45%
Heilbronn: Luka Mikrut vs Marvin Moeller Jun 05 $592 −$321 -54%
Makarska: Andrea Lazaro Garcia vs Darja Semenistaja Jun 05 $204 +$381 +187%
Makarska: Maria Timofeeva vs Yasmine Kabbaj Jun 05 $467 −$247 -53%
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Flavio Cobolli Jun 05 $1,531 −$75 -5%
Heilbronn: Marco Trungelliti vs Diego Dedura-Palomero Jun 05 $730 +$803 +110%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 93% −$3,109
other 3% −$617
world 2% +$743
crypto 2% −$527
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 4¢ $1,324 18m
Libema Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Alex de Minaur SELL Alex de Minaur 100¢ $1,135 22m
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard SELL Daniil Medvedev 100¢ $23 1h
Libema Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Alex de Minaur BUY Alex de Minaur 88¢ $1,004 1h
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard SELL Daniil Medvedev 78¢ $225 1h
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard BUY Daniil Medvedev 32¢ $102 2h
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarino SELL Adrian Mannarino 56¢ $507 5h
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarino BUY Adrian Mannarino 54¢ $507 5h
Tucuman: Federico Coria vs Andrea Collarini SELL Andrea Collarini 40¢ $51 17h
Tucuman: Federico Coria vs Andrea Collarini BUY Andrea Collarini 45¢ $61 17h
Modena: Lucia Bronzetti vs Julia Grabher SELL Lucia Bronzetti 100¢ $1,065 17h
Modena: Lucia Bronzetti vs Julia Grabher BUY Lucia Bronzetti 91¢ $973 17h
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 5¢ $1,029 18h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 86¢ $996 19h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 86¢ $1,004 19h
Stuttgart Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Nick Kyrgios SELL Sho Shimabukuro 94¢ $939 24h
Stuttgart Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Nick Kyrgios SELL Sho Shimabukuro 59¢ $69 24h
Stuttgart Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Nick Kyrgios BUY Sho Shimabukuro 47¢ $193 24h
Stuttgart Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Nick Kyrgios BUY Sho Shimabukuro 42¢ $305 24h
Libema Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Arthur Rinderknech SELL Arthur Rinderknech 60¢ $453 26h
Libema Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Arthur Rinderknech BUY Arthur Rinderknech 59¢ $456 26h
Stuttgart Open: Rinky Hijikata vs Frances Tiafoe SELL Frances Tiafoe 100¢ $801 26h
Stuttgart Open: Rinky Hijikata vs Frances Tiafoe BUY Frances Tiafoe 68¢ $66 27h
Libema Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Arthur Rinderknech SELL Adrian Mannarino 45¢ $233 27h
Stuttgart Open: Rinky Hijikata vs Frances Tiafoe BUY Frances Tiafoe 71¢ $504 27h
Libema Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Arthur Rinderknech SELL Adrian Mannarino 48¢ $39 27h
Libema Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Arthur Rinderknech BUY Adrian Mannarino 56¢ $344 27h
Libema Open: Ugo Humbert vs Benjamin Bonzi SELL Benjamin Bonzi 37¢ $3 28h
Libema Open: Ugo Humbert vs Benjamin Bonzi SELL Benjamin Bonzi 66¢ $342 28h
Libema Open: Ugo Humbert vs Benjamin Bonzi BUY Benjamin Bonzi 75¢ $403 28h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-10.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 53 +13.9% +3.0% 60% 47% -2.4%
≤30d 163 -0.8% -10.3% 50% 43% -11.3%
≤90d 203 -1.1% -10.5% 50% 43% -10.5%
all 203 -1.1% -10.5% 50% 43% -10.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover12.4 tr/day
realistic slip~11%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.5% 43% -10.5%
10% ← realistic here -19.1% 36% -19.1%
15% -26.9% 32% -26.9%
20% -34.1% 24% -34.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2,173.90 · official $2,178.91 (match) · 511 history records