trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 24 | +29.2% | +16.9% | 42% | 38% | -16.8% |
| ≤30d | 24 | +29.2% | +16.9% | 42% | 38% | -16.8% |
| ≤90d | 24 | +29.2% | +16.9% | 42% | 38% | -16.8% |
| all | 24 | +29.2% | +16.9% | 42% | 38% | -16.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +16.9% | 38% | -16.8% |
| 10% | +5.7% | 33% | -24.8% |
| 15% | -4.5% | 33% | -32.1% |
| 20% | -13.9% | 25% | -38.7% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17? | Yes | 41¢ | 40¢ | $30 | $29 | −$1 (-4%) |
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 6¢ | 6¢ | $5 | $5 | −$0 (-7%) |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 5¢ | 4¢ | $5 | $4 | −$1 (-23%) |
| Will Panama win on 2026-06-17? | Yes | 30¢ | 30¢ | $3 | $3 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $5 | −$5 | -93% |
| Will England win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $63 | +$28 | +45% |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $30 | −$30 | -98% |
| Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $5 | +$17 | +322% |
| Will Jordan win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $21 | −$9 | -45% |
| Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $15 | +$4 | +23% |
| Will Austria win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $24 | +$16 | +67% |
| Will Algeria win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $2 | −$2 | -98% |
| Will Iraq win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $10 | +$2 | +16% |
| Will Argentina vs. Algeria end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $20 | −$20 | -98% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $113 | +$41 | +37% |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $40 | −$40 | -99% |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Sweden vs. Tunisia: Neither team to score first? | Jun 15 | $5 | −$5 | -97% |
| Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $38 | −$37 | -98% |
| Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $31 | −$2 | -7% |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $39 | −$38 | -98% |
| Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $30 | +$20 | +65% |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $33 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? | Jun 13 | $4 | +$3 | +97% |
| Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? | Jun 13 | $2 | +$25 | +1225% |
| Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $2 | −$2 | -97% |