Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:32:16+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

7D
0x7ddc…7b24
sports · 359 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$559 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$558 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$106
Realized−$558
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)55%
Wins / losses198 / 159
Est. fees paid−$46
Open positions2
Markets (closed)357 / 359
History coverage108d
Avg bet$37
Trades / day5.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit86%
Chart Positions 2 History 357 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$70
7 days+$148
14 days+$68
30 days+$285
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Vitality 91¢ 90¢ $95 $94 −$1 (-1%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Team Falcons 68¢ 66¢ $12 $12 −$0 (-2%)
LoL: LYON vs Disguised - Game 1 Winner Disguised 24¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 1 Winner Cloud9 63¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Crystal Palace FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 1.5 Over 65¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Liquid (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Liquid 41¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
World Championships: Switzerland vs. Finland Finland 47¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A Vitality 53¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
LoL: Cloud9 vs Team Liquid (BO3) - Esports World Cup North America Qualifier Playoffs Cloud9 25¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Bilibili Gaming 95¢ 0¢ $157 $0 −$157 (-100%)
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner Natus Vincere 44¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
LoL: Dignitas vs Disguised - Game 2 Winner Dignitas 42¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Anyones Legend 85¢ 0¢ $115 $0 −$115 (-100%)
LoL: Oh My God vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana Oh My God 51¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League final? Yes 53¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend Bilibili Gaming 87¢ 0¢ $115 $0 −$115 (-100%)
LoL: Fnatic vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner Fnatic 31¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
LoL: FlyQuest vs LYON - Game 1 Winner LYON 63¢ 0¢ $31 $0 −$31 (-100%)
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winner Nongshim Red Force 13¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Play-In Weibo Gaming 92¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 Winner G2 Esports 72¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming - Game 4 Winner JD Gaming 60¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend JD Gaming 75¢ 0¢ $69 $0 −$69 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FlyQuest (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Liquid 60¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN - Map 2 Winner Astralis 64¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Jun 12 $100 +$6 +6%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $82 +$20 +24%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $30 +$1 +5%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $25 −$25 -99%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $18 +$8 +44%
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $100 +$11 +11%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $24 +$13 +52%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $20 +$4 +22%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $101 +$20 +20%
Will Nigeria win on 2026-06-10? Jun 11 $37 +$4 +12%
Will Costa Rica win on 2026-06-10? Jun 11 $200 +$8 +4%
Will Iceland win on 2026-06-09? Jun 10 $131 +$6 +5%
Will Peru win on 2026-06-08? Jun 09 $126 +$5 +4%
Will France win on 2026-06-08? Jun 08 $200 +$26 +13%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $20 −$20 -99%
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 2 Winner Jun 08 $26 +$4 +16%
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $9 −$9 -99%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs Jun 07 $23 +$22 +97%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 4 Winner Jun 07 $40 +$13 +32%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $24 −$24 -99%
Will Bolivia win on 2026-06-06? Jun 07 $55 +$9 +16%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 06 $83 +$23 +27%
Counter-Strike: NRG vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 06 $60 +$23 +38%
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FlyQuest (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 05 $24 −$24 -99%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 05 $162 +$21 +13%
Counter-Strike: Gaimin Gladiators vs Heroic (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 03 $138 +$24 +18%
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 03 $130 +$8 +6%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Liquid (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 02 $9 −$9 -98%
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 02 $99 +$40 +40%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 02 $55 +$44 +81%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 01 $115 −$115 -100%
LoL: Team Liquid vs Shopify Rebellion (BO5) - LCS Playoffs Jun 01 $105 +$10 +10%
World Championships: Switzerland vs. Finland May 31 $100 +$6 +6%
LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX - Game 3 Winner May 31 $33 −$33 -99%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffs May 31 $126 +$6 +5%
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 31 $25 +$9 +38%
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 31 $107 +$10 +10%
LoL: FlyQuest vs Sentinels (BO5) - LCS Playoffs May 30 $93 +$13 +14%
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - LEC Playoffs May 30 $70 +$24 +34%
World Championships: Switzerland vs. Norway May 30 $62 +$8 +13%
LoL: BNK FEARX vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 30 $55 +$7 +12%
LoL: KT Rolster vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 30 $50 +$5 +11%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs May 30 $157 −$157 -100%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs EDward Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs May 30 $87 +$11 +13%
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Sharks (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs May 29 $50 +$9 +17%
LoL: Top Esports vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs May 29 $47 +$8 +17%
LoL: Gen.G vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 29 $120 +$11 +10%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 29 $30 +$10 +34%
LoL: JD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs May 29 $86 +$11 +13%
World Championships: Finland vs. Czechia May 28 $28 +$8 +31%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 83% −$383
other 17% −$175
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Vitality 91¢ $50 1h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Vitality 91¢ $45 2h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 68¢ $12 2h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner SELL Hanwha Life Esports 100¢ $106 2h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 94¢ $100 2h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner SELL Hanwha Life Esports 100¢ $102 3h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 80¢ $82 3h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL T1 36¢ $32 3h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 33¢ $30 4h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner BUY T1 75¢ $25 5h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 69¢ $18 16h
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? SELL No 100¢ $111 17h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag SELL Spirit 100¢ $37 17h
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? BUY No 90¢ $100 19h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 65¢ $24 19h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Team Falcons 78¢ $24 20h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Team Falcons 63¢ $20 27h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Vitality 83¢ $101 28h
Will Costa Rica win on 2026-06-10? BUY No 96¢ $200 42h
Will Nigeria win on 2026-06-10? BUY No 89¢ $37 42h
Will Iceland win on 2026-06-09? BUY No 96¢ $131 2d
Will Peru win on 2026-06-08? SELL No 100¢ $131 3d
Will Peru win on 2026-06-08? BUY No 96¢ $126 3d
Will France win on 2026-06-08? SELL Yes 100¢ $226 3d
Will France win on 2026-06-08? BUY Yes 89¢ $100 3d
Will France win on 2026-06-08? BUY Yes 87¢ $100 4d
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN - Map 2 Winner BUY Astralis 64¢ $20 4d
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 2 Winner BUY LYON 86¢ $26 4d
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 1 Winner BUY Cloud9 63¢ $9 4d
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs SELL G2 Esports 100¢ $45 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-14.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 23 +2.0% -7.7% 83% 61% -0.8%
≤30d 90 +7.5% -2.7% 79% 60% -5.3%
≤90d 188 -10.1% -18.7% 59% 49% -15.5%
all 357 -5.7% -14.6% 55% 50% -13.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover5.5 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -14.6% 50% -13.4%
10% -22.8% 40% -21.7%
15% -30.3% 34% -29.2%
20% -37.1% 23% -36.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $106.01 · official $106.01 (match) · 749 history records