trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 23 | +54.6% | +39.9% | 57% | 57% | +14.0% |
| ≤30d | 23 | +54.6% | +39.9% | 57% | 57% | +14.0% |
| ≤90d | 26 | +40.6% | +27.2% | 50% | 50% | -10.8% |
| all | 28 | +30.5% | +18.1% | 46% | 46% | -14.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +18.1% | 46% | -14.4% |
| 10% | +6.8% | 43% | -22.6% |
| 15% | -3.5% | 43% | -30.1% |
| 20% | -13.0% | 39% | -36.9% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 4¢ | 2¢ | $200 | $104 | −$95 (-48%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $76 | +$49 | +64% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 19 | $81 | +$45 | +56% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 19 | $51 | +$53 | +105% |
| Will Canada vs. Qatar end in a draw? | Jun 18 | $21 | −$20 | -98% |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $101 | +$57 | +57% |
| Will South Africa win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $40 | +$5 | +12% |
| Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 18 | $51 | −$50 | -98% |
| Will England win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $67 | −$66 | -98% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $41 | −$40 | -98% |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $20 | +$22 | +107% |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $61 | +$29 | +47% |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $9 | +$79 | +855% |
| Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $20 | +$12 | +59% |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $31 | −$30 | -98% |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $26 | −$25 | -98% |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $7 | −$3 | -39% |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $20 | +$25 | +124% |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $67 | +$40 | +59% |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $20 | +$91 | +442% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $67 | −$66 | -99% |
| Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $90 | $0 | -0% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $67 | +$73 | +109% |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30? | Apr 08 | $236 | −$236 | -100% |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? | Apr 08 | $52 | −$52 | -100% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential ele | Apr 07 | $53 | −$1 | -2% |
| Will the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after March 2026 meeti | Mar 18 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil's March 2026 meeting? | Mar 18 | $60 | −$56 | -95% |