Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T18:06:19+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

7E
0x7e0c…8b5e
weather · 237 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$52 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$32 · open −$179
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP weather specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2,130
Realized−$32
Unrealized−$179
Win rate (resolved)90%
Wins / losses157 / 17
Open positions63
Markets (closed)174 / 237
History coverage2d
Avg bet$75
Trades / day443.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 63 History 174 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$106
7 days−$32
14 days−$32
30 days−$32
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on June 12? No 94¢ 95¢ $105 $105 +$1 (+1%)
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 13? No 94¢ 96¢ $104 $105 +$2 (+2%)
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on June 13? No 95¢ 94¢ $104 $104 −$0 (-0%)
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on June 12? No 95¢ 94¢ $105 $104 −$1 (-1%)
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C or below on June 13? No 94¢ 94¢ $103 $103 −$1 (-1%)
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on June 13? No 93¢ 92¢ $102 $102 −$0 (-0%)
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 84-85°F on June 12? No 94¢ 92¢ $104 $101 −$3 (-3%)
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on June 13? No 92¢ 90¢ $102 $99 −$3 (-3%)
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C or higher on June 13? No 91¢ 88¢ $100 $97 −$3 (-3%)
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 13? No 87¢ 87¢ $97 $97 −$0 (-0%)
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on June 12? No 87¢ 86¢ $96 $96 −$1 (-1%)
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on June 13? No 85¢ 84¢ $94 $92 −$2 (-2%)
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June 12? No 79¢ 80¢ $88 $89 +$1 (+1%)
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on June 13? No 86¢ 79¢ $95 $88 −$8 (-8%)
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on June 12? No 80¢ 77¢ $88 $85 −$3 (-3%)
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 78-79°F on June 12? No 77¢ 80¢ $81 $84 +$2 (+3%)
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on June 12? No 85¢ 75¢ $94 $83 −$11 (-12%)
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on June 12? No 90¢ 64¢ $99 $70 −$29 (-29%)
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on June 12? No 56¢ 50¢ $74 $66 −$8 (-11%)
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on June 12? No 85¢ 55¢ $93 $61 −$33 (-35%)
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 88-89°F on June 12? No 75¢ 74¢ $43 $42 −$1 (-2%)
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on June 13? No 89¢ 90¢ $39 $39 +$1 (+2%)
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 13? No 95¢ 98¢ $33 $34 +$1 (+3%)
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 38°C on June 13? No 94¢ 94¢ $32 $32 −$0 (-0%)
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 86-87°F on June 12? No 91¢ 97¢ $27 $29 +$2 (+7%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 96-97°F on Ju Jun 12 $88 +$9 +11%
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on June 12? Jun 12 $83 +$3 +4%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 96-97°F on June 12? Jun 12 $76 +$3 +4%
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on June 12? Jun 12 $72 +$34 +47%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on June 12? Jun 12 $104 +$5 +5%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 12? Jun 12 $103 +$5 +5%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on June 12? Jun 12 $100 +$8 +8%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on June 12? Jun 12 $105 +$4 +4%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C or higher on June 12? Jun 12 $103 +$5 +5%
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on June 12? Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on June 12? Jun 12 $102 −$102 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on June 12? Jun 12 $83 −$83 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on June 12? Jun 12 $95 −$95 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on June 12? Jun 12 $106 +$3 +3%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on June 12? Jun 12 $101 +$8 +8%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on June 12? Jun 12 $45 +$5 +11%
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on June 12? Jun 12 $39 +$10 +27%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on June 12? Jun 12 $105 +$4 +4%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on June 12? Jun 12 $100 +$7 +7%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on June 12? Jun 12 $71 +$3 +4%
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on June 12? Jun 12 $105 +$4 +4%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on June 12? Jun 12 $101 +$8 +8%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 12? Jun 12 $102 +$7 +7%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on June 12? Jun 12 $105 +$4 +4%
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on June 12? Jun 12 $101 +$7 +7%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on June 12? Jun 12 $23 +$1 +5%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 12? Jun 12 $104 +$5 +5%
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on June 12? Jun 12 $0 $0 +49%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on June 12? Jun 12 $37 +$3 +7%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on June 12? Jun 12 $105 +$4 +4%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on June 12? Jun 12 $101 +$7 +6%
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 36°C on June 12? Jun 12 $76 +$3 +4%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 12? Jun 12 $104 +$5 +5%
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on June 12? Jun 12 $104 +$5 +5%
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 18°C on June 12? Jun 12 $102 +$8 +8%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on June 12? Jun 12 $105 +$4 +4%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on June 12? Jun 12 $71 +$35 +50%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on June 12? Jun 12 $74 +$32 +44%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on June 12? Jun 12 $88 +$15 +17%
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on June 12? Jun 12 $73 +$32 +43%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on June 12? Jun 12 $92 +$13 +14%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on June 12? Jun 12 $74 +$26 +35%
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 29°C on June 12? Jun 12 $104 +$5 +4%
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on June 12? Jun 12 $105 +$4 +4%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 90-91°F on Ju Jun 12 $106 −$106 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on June 12? Jun 12 $74 +$29 +39%
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June Jun 12 $49 +$4 +8%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on June 11? Jun 12 $97 +$11 +11%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 94-95°F on Ju Jun 12 $104 +$5 +5%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 81°F or below on June Jun 12 $104 +$6 +6%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
weather 100% −$211
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 96-97°F on Ju SELL No 97¢ $97 1m
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 38°C on June 13? BUY No 94¢ $16 3m
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 38°C on June 13? BUY No 94¢ $8 4m
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 38°C on June 13? BUY No 94¢ $9 5m
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on June 13? BUY No 94¢ $29 6m
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on June 12? SELL No 92¢ $17 6m
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on June 12? SELL No 96¢ $8 6m
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on June 12? SELL No 96¢ $26 7m
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on June 12? SELL No 96¢ $10 7m
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on June 12? SELL No 96¢ $5 7m
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on June 12? SELL No 96¢ $19 7m
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on June 12? SELL No 96¢ $5 7m
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on June 12? SELL No 96¢ $5 7m
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on June 12? SELL No 96¢ $24 7m
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on June 12? SELL No 99¢ $86 8m
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on June 12? BUY No 64¢ $36 9m
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 86-87°F on June 12? SELL No 98¢ $1 22m
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on June 12? SELL No 99¢ $23 27m
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C or below on June 13? BUY No 94¢ $11 35m
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C or below on June 13? BUY No 94¢ $92 35m
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on June 13? BUY No 95¢ $8 37m
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 96-97°F on June 12? SELL No 99¢ $79 40m
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on June 12? SELL No 99¢ $26 41m
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on June 12? BUY No 49¢ $38 1h
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 96-97°F on Ju BUY No 87¢ $88 1h
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on June 12? SELL No 99¢ $82 1h
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on June 12? BUY No 67¢ $37 1h
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on June 12? SELL No 95¢ $100 1h
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on June 12? SELL No 95¢ $6 1h
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on June 13? BUY No 85¢ $86 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +31%
net ROI/market (all)-7.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 174 +1.8% -7.9% 90% 31% -9.7%
≤30d 174 +1.8% -7.9% 90% 31% -9.7%
≤90d 174 +1.8% -7.9% 90% 31% -9.7%
all 174 +1.8% -7.9% 90% 31% -9.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover443.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -7.9% 31% -9.7%
10% ← realistic here -16.7% 14% -18.4%
15% -24.8% 10% -26.3%
20% -32.1% 4% -33.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2,129.54 · official $2,120.86 (match) · 1135 history records