Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T01:30:57+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
7E 0x7e13…c765 crypto 258 markets active 0h ago coverage 22d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Total PnL −$33 (-4%) realized −$49 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -18% what you keep after slip
Net edge-18%after slip
Net WR53%break-even
Win rate63%163W / 95L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$4per market
Trades / day17.4pace
Fees−$0est.
Kalshi-fit76%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$8
7 days+$8
14 days+$8
30 days−$49
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 64% +$3
other 35% −$52
sports 0% $0
world 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +53%
net ROI/market (all)-11.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 103 +6.3% -3.8% 52% 46% -3.2%
≤30d 258 -1.6% -11.0% 63% 53% -14.0%
≤90d 258 -1.6% -11.0% 63% 53% -14.0%
all 258 -1.6% -11.0% 63% 53% -14.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover17.4 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -11.0% 53% -14.0%
10% -19.5% 39% -22.2%
15% -27.3% 28% -29.7%
20% -34.4% 18% -36.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 5% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -5% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
15% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -2% · $-wt -5% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -6% → late +2% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$3 · ×0.47 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.8 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

22d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$49
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)63%
Wins / losses163 / 95
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)258 / 258
History coverage22d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day17.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit76%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 258 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - May 24, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - May 24, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - May 24, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Down 77¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 24, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 24, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 24, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Down 92¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - May 24, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Down 79¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - May 24, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Up 82¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 24, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Down 75¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - May 24, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 24, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Down 72¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Up 71¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 24, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Down 79¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 May 25-31? Yes 53¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 24, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Up 84¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +25%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 15 $1 +$1 +84%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 -37%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -66%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 15 $1 +$1 +66%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 15 $1 +$1 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 15 $1 +$1 +55%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +21%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +22%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 15 $1 +$1 +56%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 -20%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 -32%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +60%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -20%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +39%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -97%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -97%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +60%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -69%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -31%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -23%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +84%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +20%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +31%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -70%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +52%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +65%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET SELL Down 83¢ $1 5m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $1 5m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET SELL Down 94¢ $2 8m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 10m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET SELL Down 86¢ $1 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET SELL Up 36¢ $1 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 12m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $1 13m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET SELL Down 49¢ $1 19m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET SELL Down 19¢ $0 24m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET SELL Up 76¢ $1 24m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $1 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET SELL Down 90¢ $2 28m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET SELL Down 96¢ $2 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 30m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $1 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET SELL Up 89¢ $2 33m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET SELL Up 62¢ $1 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $1 35m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $1 35m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET SELL Down 60¢ $1 38m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $1 40m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET SELL Down 75¢ $1 44m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $1 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET SELL Up 47¢ $1 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET SELL Down 88¢ $2 52m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET SELL Down 48¢ $1 53m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 498 history records