Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T19:41:54+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

7E
0x7e18…84c4
crypto · 1214 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$5,120 -76%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$5,117 · open −$3
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$16
Realized−$5,117
Unrealized−$3
Win rate (resolved)57%
Wins / losses653 / 496
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1149 / 1214
History coverage15d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day194.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 1149 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$7,105
7 days−$6,377
14 days−$5,210
30 days−$5,117
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Up 52¢ 100¢ $8 $15 +$7 (+92%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Down 54¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+85%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Up 56¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+78%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 10PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4PM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $36 $0 −$36 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $59 $0 −$59 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $32 $0 −$32 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $80 $0 −$80 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 10AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $76 $0 −$76 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 13 $36 −$36 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $59 −$59 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 13 $32 −$32 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $80 −$80 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 10AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 13 $76 −$76 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 13 $169 −$169 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 13 $13 −$13 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 6PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $13 −$13 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $27 −$27 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 13 $27 −$27 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 13 $61 −$61 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $43 −$43 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3PM ET Jun 13 $159 −$159 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 11AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $58 −$58 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$2,309
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $3 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $3 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $2 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $1 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +57%
net ROI/market (all)-3.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 703 -20.2% -27.8% 43% 43% -70.6%
≤30d 1149 +7.2% -3.0% 57% 57% -48.3%
≤90d 1149 +7.2% -3.0% 57% 57% -48.3%
all 1149 +7.2% -3.0% 57% 57% -48.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover194.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -3.0% 57% -48.3%
10% ← realistic here -12.3% 57% -53.2%
15% -20.8% 57% -57.8%
20% -28.5% 57% -61.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $15.75 · official $15.00 (match) · 3500 history records