Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T21:28:44+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

7E
0x7e1b…106c
sports · 990 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$295 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$140 · open +$155
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1,035
Realized+$140
Unrealized+$155
Win rate (resolved)81%
Wins / losses789 / 188
Est. fees paid−$72
Open positions12
Markets (closed)977 / 990
History coverage28d
Avg bet$23
Trades / day89.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit64%
Chart Positions 12 History 977 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$86
7 days+$250
14 days+$153
30 days+$140
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? No 77¢ 100¢ $344 $449 +$105 (+31%)
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? No 82¢ 100¢ $276 $337 +$61 (+22%)
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 Under 73¢ 100¢ $47 $64 +$17 (+36%)
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5 Under 92¢ 100¢ $48 $52 +$4 (+8%)
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 Over 71¢ 100¢ $24 $33 +$10 (+41%)
Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5) Canada 90¢ 100¢ $27 $30 +$3 (+11%)
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 4.5 Under 95¢ 100¢ $28 $29 +$1 (+5%)
Spread: Canada (-1.5) Bosnia and Herzegovina 86¢ 100¢ $14 $16 +$2 (+16%)
Spread: Canada (-2.5) Bosnia and Herzegovina 90¢ 100¢ $14 $16 +$2 (+11%)
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Yes 76¢ 100¢ $5 $6 +$2 (+32%)
Canada leading at halftime? No 95¢ 100¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+5%)
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? No 73¢ 0¢ $39 $0 −$39 (-100%)
Bosnia-Herzegovina leading at halftime? No 84¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $458 −$98 -21%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $68 +$19 +27%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $231 +$73 +31%
Czechia leading at halftime? Jun 12 $3 $0 +6%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $9 +$3 +40%
Korea Republic leading at halftime? Jun 12 $11 +$3 +23%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $23 −$23 -100%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $28 +$2 +6%
Spread: Czechia (-1.5) Jun 12 $28 +$5 +18%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $44 −$44 -100%
Spread: Korea Republic (-1.5) Jun 12 $87 +$13 +15%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $74 +$9 +12%
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $43 +$4 +10%
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? Jun 11 $159 +$15 +9%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 13.5 Jun 11 $38 +$10 +26%
Mexico leading at halftime? Jun 11 $79 +$7 +9%
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) Jun 11 $3 $0 +5%
Mexico vs. South Africa: Draw at halftime? Jun 11 $4 $0 +12%
Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score Jun 11 $32 +$3 +11%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 4.5 Jun 11 $33 +$3 +8%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $37 +$9 +24%
Spread: Mexico (-2.5) Jun 11 $45 +$17 +37%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 3.5 Jun 11 $145 +$27 +18%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5 Jun 11 $222 −$37 -17%
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 6.5 Jun 11 $6 +$2 +32%
Spread: Kansas City Royals (-3.5) Jun 11 $3 +$1 +24%
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 9.5 Jun 11 $16 +$4 +26%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 11.5 Jun 11 $20 +$3 +13%
Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5) Jun 11 $13 +$5 +38%
Will England win on 2026-06-10? Jun 11 $18 +$3 +14%
England vs. Costa Rica: O/U 1.5 Jun 10 $12 +$4 +31%
England vs. Costa Rica: O/U 5.5 Jun 10 $18 +$2 +10%
England vs. Costa Rica: O/U 3.5 Jun 10 $110 +$23 +21%
Portugal vs. Nigeria: O/U 2.5 Jun 10 $3 $0 +16%
Spread: Portugal (-2.5) Jun 10 $3 +$1 +32%
Will Portugal vs. Nigeria end in a draw? Jun 10 $11 +$2 +20%
Spread: Portugal (-1.5) Jun 10 $11 +$3 +28%
Portugal vs. Nigeria: O/U 1.5 Jun 10 $14 +$1 +11%
Portugal vs. Nigeria: O/U 4.5 Jun 10 $27 +$6 +20%
Portugal vs. Nigeria: Draw at halftime? Jun 10 $36 −$36 -100%
Will Nigeria win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $82 +$8 +10%
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $66 +$12 +18%
Portugal vs. Nigeria: O/U 5.5 Jun 10 $9 +$1 +7%
Portugal vs. Nigeria: O/U 3.5 Jun 10 $12 +$4 +31%
Málaga CF vs. UD Las Palmas: O/U 3.5 Jun 10 $3 $0 +6%
Will UD Las Palmas win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $12 +$1 +7%
Will Málaga CF vs. UD Las Palmas end in a draw? Jun 10 $23 +$6 +26%
Will Málaga CF win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $45 +$13 +29%
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 8.5 Jun 10 $16 −$16 -100%
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-09? Jun 10 $5 $0 +8%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 52% +$128
other 48% +$182
world 0% +$6
crypto 0% −$21
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 83¢ $6 37m
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 74¢ $17 37m
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 82¢ $3 37m
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY Yes 76¢ $5 37m
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 95¢ $4 37m
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 95¢ $4 37m
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 73¢ $3 37m
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 72¢ $21 38m
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 72¢ $3 38m
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 95¢ $6 38m
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 79¢ $4 39m
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 75¢ $22 42m
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 75¢ $10 42m
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 75¢ $2 42m
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 75¢ $10 42m
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 72¢ $20 43m
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 91¢ $26 43m
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 91¢ $19 43m
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 92¢ $7 43m
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 92¢ $2 44m
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 92¢ $5 44m
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 94¢ $29 44m
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 91¢ $4 45m
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 71¢ $4 45m
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 71¢ $4 46m
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 90¢ $27 49m
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 84¢ $2 49m
Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5) BUY Canada 90¢ $14 54m
Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5) BUY Canada 90¢ $10 54m
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 87¢ $12 58m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +63%
net ROI/market (all)-8.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 205 +4.4% -5.6% 86% 64% -4.7%
≤30d 977 +1.7% -8.0% 81% 63% -8.9%
≤90d 977 +1.7% -8.0% 81% 63% -8.9%
all 977 +1.7% -8.0% 81% 63% -8.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover89.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.0% 63% -8.9%
10% ← realistic here -16.8% 33% -17.7%
15% -24.9% 11% -25.6%
20% -32.2% 3% -32.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,034.52 · official $1,034.52 (match) · 3500 history records