trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | +0.1% | -9.4% | 100% | 0% | -9.4% |
| ≤30d | 11 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 18% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤90d | 27 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 7% | 0% | -9.6% |
| all | 27 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 7% | 0% | -9.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.6% | 0% | -9.6% |
| 10% | -18.3% | 0% | -18.3% |
| 15% | -26.2% | 0% | -26.2% |
| 20% | -33.4% | 0% | -33.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 26? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $48 | $48 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 25? | Jun 25 | $26 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 24? | Jun 24 | $34 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan win the 2027 French presidential election? | Jun 19 | $912 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 17 | $2,798 | −$4 | -0% |
| Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Jun 14 | $913 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 12 | $914 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Jun 09 | $917 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 04 | $915 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Jun 02 | $915 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | May 31 | $923 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | May 28 | $919 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election? | May 26 | $1,847 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | May 24 | $925 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | May 20 | $927 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | May 18 | $929 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | May 16 | $928 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will François Asselineau win the 2027 French presidential election? | May 14 | $932 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | May 12 | $929 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Manuel Bompard win the 2027 French presidential election? | May 10 | $935 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | May 08 | $933 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | May 06 | $1,886 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | May 04 | $938 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | May 02 | $778 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Apr 28 | $948 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 mee | Apr 26 | $948 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Apr 24 | $1,900 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Apr 20 | $950 | −$1 | -0% |