Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T18:44:18+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

7E
0x7e1d…2757
crypto · 370 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$192 -8%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$191 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$8
Realized−$191
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)32%
Wins / losses116 / 252
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions2
Markets (closed)368 / 370
History coverage137d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day6.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 2 History 368 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$15
7 days−$40
14 days−$61
30 days−$61
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-3%)
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Yes 20¢ 20¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-2%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Up 76¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Down 83¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Up 80¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $16 −$1 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$5 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$1 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$2 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $16 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$4 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$1 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$3 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $25 −$3 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$1 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$2 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$2 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$5 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $18 +$16 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $7 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$2 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$2 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 11 $4 −$2 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +8%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 93% −$80
other 5% −$96
sports 1% −$13
economics 0% −$1
politics 0% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 20¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 27¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET SELL Up 52¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET SELL Up 42¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET SELL Down 77¢ $9 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $10 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $10 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 17¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET SELL Up 42¢ $3 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET SELL Down 96¢ $12 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 7h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +23%
net ROI/market (all)-32.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 130 -12.8% -21.1% 48% 27% -16.6%
≤30d 134 -14.6% -22.8% 46% 26% -19.7%
≤90d 134 -14.6% -22.8% 46% 26% -19.7%
all 368 -25.5% -32.6% 32% 23% -26.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover6.5 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -32.6% 23% -26.5%
10% -39.0% 16% -33.6%
15% -44.9% 12% -40.0%
20% -50.3% 11% -45.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $7.77 · official $7.77 (match) · 1750 history records