Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T02:28:06+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

7E
0x7e41…ca06
other · 818 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$2,532 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$3,328 · open +$754
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2,584
Realized−$3,328
Unrealized+$754
Win rate (resolved)89%
Wins / losses725 / 87
Whale WR (big bets)91%
Est. fees paid−$243
Open positions7
Markets (closed)812 / 818
History coverage98d
Avg bet$466
Trades / day31.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit48%
Chart Positions 7 History 812 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$51
7 days−$29
14 days−$291
30 days−$1,467
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026? Yes 6¢ 12¢ $762 $1,651 +$889 (+117%)
Spread: Haiti (-1.5) Scotland 95¢ 100¢ $675 $705 +$30 (+5%)
Spread: Australia (-1.5) Türkiye 95¢ 94¢ $190 $189 −$1 (-1%)
Scott McTominay: 1+ shots Yes 98¢ 100¢ $23 $23 +$0 (+2%)
Lawrence Shankland: 1+ shots Yes 98¢ 51¢ $23 $12 −$11 (-48%)
Lawrence Shankland: 2+ shots Yes 96¢ 52¢ $8 $4 −$4 (-46%)
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? No 75¢ 0¢ $150 $0 −$150 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $84 +$9 +11%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 0.5 Jun 14 $92 +$8 +8%
Spread: Morocco (-1.5) Jun 13 $569 +$35 +6%
Spread: Morocco (-2.5) Jun 13 $81 +$2 +3%
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $775 +$8 +1%
Christian Pulisic: 1+ shots Jun 13 $94 −$94 -100%
Folarin Balogun: 1+ shots Jun 13 $22 +$1 +6%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 0.5 Jun 13 $90 +$10 +11%
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? Jun 13 $71 +$8 +11%
Tani Oluwaseyi: 1+ shots Jun 12 $19 +$1 +6%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $485 +$10 +2%
Spread: Canada (-1.5) Jun 12 $552 +$27 +5%
Ermedin Demirović: 1+ shots Jun 12 $19 −$9 -48%
Spread: Canada (-2.5) Jun 12 $90 +$8 +9%
Son Heungmin: 1+ shots Jun 12 $95 +$5 +5%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $96 +$22 +23%
Raúl Jiménez: 1+ shots Jun 11 $9 +$1 +8%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 3.5 Jun 11 $93 −$4 -4%
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? Jun 11 $87 +$8 +10%
Will Nigeria win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $123 +$1 +1%
Will Portugal vs. Nigeria end in a draw? Jun 10 $57 +$6 +10%
Portugal vs. Nigeria: O/U 0.5 Jun 10 $95 +$5 +5%
UD Almería vs. CD Castellón: O/U 4.5 Jun 10 $141 −$121 -86%
Spread: Kazakhstan (-2.5) Jun 09 $99 +$1 +1%
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $32 +$1 +2%
Will Chile win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $93 +$3 +3%
Spread: DR Congo (-1.5) Jun 09 $24 +$1 +3%
Will Peru win on 2026-06-08? Jun 09 $198 +$1 +0%
France vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 5.5 Jun 08 $98 +$1 +1%
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-08? Jun 08 $97 +$2 +2%
Uzbekistan leading at halftime? Jun 08 $96 +$4 +4%
Spread: Morocco (-2.5) Jun 08 $94 +$6 +7%
Greece vs. Italy: O/U 2.5 Jun 07 $97 +$2 +2%
Will Morocco vs. Norway end in a draw? Jun 07 $74 +$4 +6%
Will Argentina vs. Honduras end in a draw? Jun 07 $182 +$7 +4%
Will England vs. New Zealand end in a draw? Jun 06 $204 +$7 +3%
Will Albania win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $97 +$3 +3%
Portugal vs. Chile: O/U 3.5 Jun 06 $65 +$1 +1%
Will Fiji win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $319 −$14 -4%
Will Vanuatu win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $9 +$5 +60%
Paraguay vs. Nicaragua: O/U 1.5 Jun 05 $90 +$3 +3%
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-04? Jun 05 $286 −$194 -68%
Will Spain vs. Iraq end in a draw? Jun 04 $94 −$44 -47%
Will France vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw? Jun 04 $88 +$2 +3%
Spread: Sweden (-2.5) Jun 04 $98 +$2 +2%
Sweden vs. Greece: O/U 4.5 Jun 04 $97 +$2 +2%
Gibraltar leading at halftime? Jun 04 $10 $0 +0%
British Virgin Islands leading at halftime? Jun 04 $24 $0 +0%
Netherlands vs. Algeria: O/U 0.5 Jun 04 $97 +$3 +3%
Will DR Congo vs. Denmark end in a draw? Jun 04 $77 −$77 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 63% −$3,676
sports 36% +$1,053
world 0% +$29
crypto 0% +$20
tech 0% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Spread: Australia (-1.5) BUY Türkiye 95¢ $190 7m
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? SELL No 95¢ $24 7m
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? SELL No 94¢ $24 14m
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? SELL No 93¢ $46 25m
Scott McTominay: 1+ shots BUY Yes 98¢ $23 1h
Spread: Haiti (-1.5) BUY Scotland 96¢ $96 1h
Spread: Haiti (-1.5) BUY Scotland 96¢ $96 1h
Lawrence Shankland: 2+ shots BUY Yes 96¢ $8 1h
Lawrence Shankland: 1+ shots BUY Yes 98¢ $23 1h
Spread: Haiti (-1.5) BUY Scotland 95¢ $47 1h
Spread: Haiti (-1.5) BUY Scotland 94¢ $47 1h
Spread: Haiti (-1.5) BUY Scotland 94¢ $95 1h
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 84¢ $84 1h
Spread: Haiti (-1.5) BUY Scotland 95¢ $294 1h
Spread: Morocco (-1.5) SELL Brazil 99¢ $281 2h
Spread: Morocco (-1.5) SELL Brazil 99¢ $40 2h
Spread: Morocco (-1.5) SELL Brazil 99¢ $239 2h
Spread: Morocco (-1.5) SELL Brazil 99¢ $39 2h
Spread: Morocco (-1.5) SELL Brazil 99¢ $5 3h
Spread: Morocco (-2.5) SELL Brazil 100¢ $84 3h
Spread: Morocco (-1.5) BUY Brazil 93¢ $93 3h
Spread: Morocco (-1.5) BUY Brazil 81¢ $8 3h
Spread: Morocco (-1.5) BUY Brazil 85¢ $85 3h
Spread: Morocco (-2.5) BUY Brazil 97¢ $81 3h
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? BUY No 74¢ $74 4h
Spread: Morocco (-1.5) BUY Brazil 96¢ $192 4h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 0.5 BUY Over 92¢ $92 4h
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? SELL No 100¢ $784 5h
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 99¢ $46 6h
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 99¢ $99 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +6%
net ROI/market (all)-11.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 34 -2.0% -11.3% 88% 12% -10.1%
≤30d 209 -6.6% -15.5% 84% 5% -15.2%
≤90d 721 -1.7% -11.1% 90% 6% -10.4%
all 812 -1.7% -11.1% 89% 6% -10.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover31.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.1% 6% -10.3%
10% ← realistic here -19.6% 1% -18.9%
15% -27.4% 0% -26.7%
20% -34.5% 0% -33.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2,583.69 · official $2,583.69 (match) · 3500 history records