Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T17:21:59+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

7E
0x7e51…2412
sports · 132 markets active 0h ago
4.0score
+$880 +11%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$794 · open −$23
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$246
Realized+$794
Unrealized−$23
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses70 / 59
Est. fees paid−$112
Open positions3
Markets (closed)129 / 132
History coverage56d
Avg bet$60
Trades / day5.1
Drawdown54%
Kalshi-fit96%
Chart Positions 3 History 129 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$713
7 days+$1,340
14 days+$1,308
30 days+$823
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Valorant: G2 Esports vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner FUT Esports 57¢ 56¢ $150 $148 −$2 (-2%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Team Falcons 45¢ 44¢ $100 $99 −$1 (-1%)
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Team Heretics - Map 2 Winner Leviatán Esports 70¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 MOUZ 58¢ 0¢ $196 $0 −$196 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT Masters London Jun 14 $171 +$48 +28%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 14 $202 −$202 -100%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 14 $201 +$100 +50%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 14 $198 −$196 -99%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner Jun 14 $152 −$152 -100%
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 14 $837 +$364 +43%
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $122 +$123 +101%
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? Jun 14 $15 −$13 -82%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 14 $283 −$244 -86%
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $51 −$51 -100%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $101 −$101 -100%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $60 +$8 +13%
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $81 +$50 +62%
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $83 −$83 -100%
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs Jun 13 $51 +$105 +206%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $61 +$36 +60%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $51 +$31 +62%
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $81 +$50 +62%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $50 +$13 +26%
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $153 −$153 -100%
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play Jun 13 $123 +$377 +307%
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $97 +$113 +116%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 13 $345 +$279 +81%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $41 +$55 +134%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $41 −$26 -64%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $41 +$66 +162%
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $152 +$136 +89%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $30 +$14 +48%
Games Total: O/U 4.5 Jun 13 $141 +$30 +21%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $61 +$40 +66%
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5) Jun 13 $40 −$40 -100%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $41 +$41 +101%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pl Jun 12 $51 −$51 -100%
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $86 −$86 -100%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $41 +$102 +249%
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $295 +$116 +40%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $50 +$45 +91%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $101 +$11 +11%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Jun 12 $41 +$37 +91%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $20 +$2 +10%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $71 +$32 +45%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $20 +$46 +223%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $51 −$51 -100%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $10 +$5 +45%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $163 +$17 +10%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $20 +$22 +106%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $21 −$21 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 93% +$778
other 6% +$29
crypto 1% −$36
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Valorant: G2 Esports vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner BUY FUT Esports 57¢ $152 17m
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT Masters London SELL Leviatán Esports 100¢ $200 32m
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT Masters London SELL Team Heretics 35¢ $19 1h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Majo BUY Team Falcons 45¢ $102 1h
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT Masters London BUY Leviatán Esports 75¢ $151 1h
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Team Heretics - Map 2 Winner SELL Team Heretics 100¢ $235 1h
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Team Heretics - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Heretics 85¢ $201 1h
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT Masters London BUY Team Heretics 35¢ $20 2h
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Team Heretics - Map 2 Winner BUY Leviatán Esports 70¢ $20 2h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL TheMongolz 100¢ $301 2h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY MOUZ 58¢ $198 6h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY TheMongolz 66¢ $201 6h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Gen.G 63¢ $202 6h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs SELL Bilibili Gaming 100¢ $1,200 6h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Bilibili Gaming 69¢ $837 10h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner BUY T1 50¢ $152 10h
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 96¢ $245 11h
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? SELL Yes 5¢ $3 11h
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 47¢ $122 12h
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? BUY Yes 27¢ $15 13h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 73¢ $20 14h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 80¢ $40 14h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Spirit 100¢ $68 18h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 65¢ $81 18h
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 3 Winner SELL Team Liquid 100¢ $131 18h
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 3 Winner BUY Team Liquid 61¢ $81 19h
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs BUY XLG Gaming 32¢ $51 22h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Legacy 100¢ $82 22h
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 2 Winner SELL XLG Gaming 100¢ $131 22h
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 2 Winner BUY XLG Gaming 61¢ $81 23h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-8.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 73 +21.5% +9.9% 64% 59% +10.9%
≤30d 125 +3.2% -6.6% 56% 51% +0.4%
≤90d 129 +0.8% -8.8% 54% 50% +0.0%
all 129 +0.8% -8.8% 54% 50% +0.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover5.1 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -8.8% 50% +0.0%
10% -17.5% 45% -9.5%
15% -25.5% 40% -18.3%
20% -32.8% 31% -26.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $246.42 · official $246.42 (match) · 338 history records