Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T01:34:35+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

7E
0x7e65…694f
sports · 433 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$4,154 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$4,154 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$4,154
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)64%
Wins / losses279 / 155
Whale WR (big bets)63%
Est. fees paid−$1,426
Open positions0
Markets (closed)434 / 433
History coverage73d
Avg bet$291
Trades / day44.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit94%
Chart Positions 0 History 434 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,945
7 days−$2,545
14 days−$3,634
30 days−$5,480
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs RUSTEC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Group Stage RUSTEC 26¢ 0¢ $263 $0 −$263 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: LPH Gaming vs MASQ (BO3) - European Pro League Regular Group B MASQ 38¢ 0¢ $72 $0 −$72 (-100%)
Hornets vs. Celtics Hornets 41¢ 0¢ $2,255 $0 −$2,255 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Gwangju: Liam Broady vs Tristan Schoolkate Liam Broady 48¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bengaluru 3: Sasikumar Mukund vs Taiyo Yamanaka Taiyo Yamanaka 36¢ 0¢ $88 $0 −$88 (-100%)
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Elina Svitolina Coco Gauff 45¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
Chicago White Sox vs. Seattle Mariners Chicago White Sox 53¢ 0¢ $52 $0 −$52 (-100%)
UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card) Tatsuro Taira 61¢ 0¢ $311 $0 −$311 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $102 $0 −$102 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Down 88¢ 0¢ $42 $0 −$42 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $27 $0 −$27 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Down 81¢ 0¢ $162 $0 −$162 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Down 80¢ 0¢ $80 $0 −$80 (-100%)
Celtics vs. Knicks Celtics 65¢ 0¢ $149 $0 −$149 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverev Jakub Mensik 12¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Savannah: Franco Roncadelli vs Nishesh Basavareddy Franco Roncadelli 35¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Up 81¢ 0¢ $105 $0 −$105 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Up 82¢ 0¢ $81 $0 −$81 (-100%)
New York Mets vs. Seattle Mariners New York Mets 43¢ 0¢ $43 $0 −$43 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $101 $0 −$101 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Detroit Tigers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Jun 13 $1,470 −$1,470 -100%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $36 +$2 +4%
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 13 $45 +$1 +3%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds Jun 13 $129 +$8 +6%
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets Jun 13 $33 −$28 -83%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins Jun 13 $56 +$14 +26%
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 13 $25 −$4 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $40 +$3 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $130 −$98 -76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 12 $136 −$126 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 12 $97 −$42 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $196 +$56 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 12 $296 −$101 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 12 $143 +$18 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 11 $50 −$47 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 11 $30 −$21 -70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 11 $15 +$2 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 11 $27 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 11 $21 +$5 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 11 $69 +$4 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 11 $9 −$9 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 11 $54 +$6 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 11 $34 +$6 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 11 $23 +$7 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 11 $44 +$6 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 11 $18 +$2 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 11 $33 +$7 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 11 $18 +$2 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 11 $48 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 11 $33 +$7 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 11 $27 +$3 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 11 $33 +$7 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 11 $14 +$6 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 11 $20 +$5 +26%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies Jun 11 $4 +$6 +150%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 11 $236 −$86 -36%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $2,310 −$325 -14%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 11 $817 +$224 +27%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 11 $22 +$21 +94%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins Jun 10 $46 +$6 +13%
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants Jun 10 $27 +$189 +690%
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres Jun 10 $449 −$443 -99%
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 10 $46 −$4 -10%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 10 $176 +$50 +29%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins Jun 10 $2,420 −$1,885 -78%
Lyon: Thomas Faurel vs Florent Bax Jun 09 $447 −$84 -19%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $2,337 −$2,037 -87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 09 $985 +$89 +9%
Stuttgart Open: Nick Kyrgios vs Corentin Moutet Jun 09 $2,359 +$2,236 +95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 09 $194 +$9 +5%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 76% −$2,479
crypto 19% +$461
world 2% −$91
other 2% −$213
finance 1% −$88
politics 0% −$250
economics 0% −$24
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 76¢ $38 4m
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays SELL Toronto Blue Jays 83¢ $46 6m
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays BUY Toronto Blue Jays 80¢ $45 8m
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 73¢ $36 10m
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds SELL Cincinnati Reds 56¢ $55 10m
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds BUY Cincinnati Reds 49¢ $48 13m
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds BUY Cincinnati Reds 49¢ $1 13m
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets SELL Atlanta Braves 12¢ $6 14m
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins SELL St. Louis Cardinals 70¢ $58 21m
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins SELL St. Louis Cardinals 73¢ $2 25m
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins SELL St. Louis Cardinals 73¢ $10 26m
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets BUY Atlanta Braves 67¢ $33 33m
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins BUY St. Louis Cardinals 55¢ $56 1h
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds SELL Cincinnati Reds 58¢ $1 1h
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds SELL Cincinnati Reds 58¢ $1 1h
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds SELL Cincinnati Reds 58¢ $3 1h
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates SELL Pittsburgh Pirates 35¢ $10 1h
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates BUY Pittsburgh Pirates 44¢ $4 1h
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds SELL Cincinnati Reds 58¢ $1 1h
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates BUY Pittsburgh Pirates 51¢ $0 1h
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates BUY Pittsburgh Pirates 51¢ $10 1h
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates SELL Pittsburgh Pirates 56¢ $11 1h
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds BUY Cincinnati Reds 49¢ $5 1h
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds SELL Cincinnati Reds 55¢ $76 1h
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds BUY Cincinnati Reds 53¢ $75 1h
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates BUY Pittsburgh Pirates 51¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $5 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-13.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 56 +8.3% -2.0% 68% 48% -18.6%
≤30d 181 -5.2% -14.2% 62% 40% -18.5%
≤90d 434 -4.2% -13.3% 64% 40% -12.1%
all 434 -4.2% -13.3% 64% 40% -12.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover44.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.3% 40% -12.1%
10% ← realistic here -21.6% 27% -20.5%
15% -29.2% 17% -28.2%
20% -36.1% 12% -35.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records