Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T00:13:45+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

7E
0x7e71…05d5
other · 24 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$2 +3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$3 · open +$4
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY ⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$60
Realized−$3
Unrealized+$4
Win rate (resolved)25%
Wins / losses1 / 3
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions20
Markets (closed)4 / 24
History coverage1d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day32.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit21%
Chart Positions 20 History 4 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$3
7 days−$3
14 days−$3
30 days−$3
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 10¢ 10¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 20¢ 14¢ $11 $8 −$3 (-28%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 1.5 Under 83¢ 93¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+12%)
Ismael Saibari: 1+ goals Yes 18¢ 100¢ $1 $6 +$5 (+454%)
Will England win on 2026-06-17? Yes 57¢ 56¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 64¢ 62¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-2%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score Yes 47¢ 100¢ $2 $4 +$2 (+113%)
Vinícius Júnior: 1+ goals Yes 29¢ 100¢ $1 $3 +$2 (+244%)
Will Morocco win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 31¢ 30¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-3%)
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Yes 3¢ 6¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+117%)
Scott McTominay: 1+ goals Yes 38¢ 38¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? Yes 26¢ 26¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-2%)
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Morocco? Yes 11¢ 14¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+32%)
Raphinha: 1+ goals No 89¢ 90¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+2%)
Lawrence Shankland: 1+ goals Yes 42¢ 41¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-2%)
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-10%)
Harry Kane: 1+ goals Yes 50¢ 26¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-48%)
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 1 Morocco? Yes 12¢ 2¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-87%)
Brazil leading at halftime? Yes 13¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 2.5 Over 19¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 1.5 Over 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 94¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 1 Morocco? Jun 13 $1 $0 +43%
Igor Thiago: 1+ goals Jun 13 $1 −$1 -92%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 82% +$1
sports 18% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Harry Kane: 1+ goals BUY Yes 50¢ $1 2m
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 2¢ $1 4m
Will Morocco win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 31¢ $2 6m
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 3¢ $1 9m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 3¢ $1 9m
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 1 Morocco? SELL Yes 73¢ $1 17m
Brazil vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 1.5 BUY Under 83¢ $5 38m
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 1 Morocco? BUY Yes 50¢ $1 39m
Igor Thiago: 1+ goals SELL Yes 2¢ $0 46m
Raphinha: 1+ goals BUY No 89¢ $1 1h
Lawrence Shankland: 1+ goals BUY Yes 42¢ $1 1h
Scott McTominay: 1+ goals BUY Yes 38¢ $2 1h
Igor Thiago: 1+ goals BUY Yes 25¢ $1 1h
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 1 Morocco? BUY Yes 12¢ $1 1h
Will Morocco win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 32¢ $2 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 2.5 BUY Over 19¢ $1 1h
Brazil leading at halftime? BUY Yes 13¢ $1 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 47¢ $2 1h
Will Morocco win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 30¢ $2 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 30¢ $2 1h
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Morocco? BUY Yes 11¢ $1 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 49¢ $1 1h
Ismael Saibari: 1+ goals BUY Yes 18¢ $1 2h
Vinícius Júnior: 1+ goals BUY Yes 29¢ $1 2h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $5 3h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 1.5 BUY Over 51¢ $1 3h
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? BUY Yes 26¢ $2 3h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 47¢ $2 3h
Will England win on 2026-06-17? BUY Yes 57¢ $5 3h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 94¢ $1 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +25%
net ROI/market (all)-66.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 4 -62.4% -66.0% 25% 25% -65.8%
≤30d 4 -62.4% -66.0% 25% 25% -65.8%
≤90d 4 -62.4% -66.0% 25% 25% -65.8%
all 4 -62.4% -66.0% 25% 25% -65.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover32.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -66.0% 25% -65.8%
10% ← realistic here -69.3% 25% -69.1%
15% -72.2% 25% -72.1%
20% -75.0% 0% -74.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $59.97 · official $59.97 (match) · 32 history records