Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T21:42:03+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

7E
0x7e86…0fa7
crypto · 266 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$620 -21%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$605 · open −$15
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$605
Unrealized−$15
Win rate (resolved)60%
Wins / losses158 / 107
Est. fees paid−$20
Open positions1
Markets (closed)265 / 266
History coverage45d
Avg bet$11
Trades / day15.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit96%
Chart Positions 1 History 265 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$22
7 days+$7
14 days−$8
30 days−$8
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 25¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05? Yes 17¢ 0¢ $106 $0 −$106 (-100%)
Will Themba Gorimbo win by KO or TKO? Yes 17¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Up 76¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Down 13¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Score Yes 18¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Club Always Ready vs. CA Lanús: Both Teams to Score Yes 22¢ 0¢ $62 $0 −$62 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Up 81¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Up 89¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Up 75¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
CS Cristal vs. SE Palmeiras: Both Teams to Score Yes 46¢ 0¢ $107 $0 −$107 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Meta Platforms (META) beat quarterly earnings? No 11¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$7 +69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $18 +$8 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$10 +152%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $15 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 08 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 07 $5 −$1 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 07 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 07 $5 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 07 $5 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 07 $5 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 07 $5 −$5 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 07 $5 +$3 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 07 $5 +$2 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 07 $5 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 07 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 07 $5 +$3 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 06 $5 −$5 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 06 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 06 $5 +$3 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 06 $5 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 06 $5 −$3 -69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 06 $5 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 06 $5 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 06 $5 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 06 $5 +$2 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 06 $5 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 06 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 06 $5 +$2 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 06 $5 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 06 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 06 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 06 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 06 $5 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 06 $5 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 06 $5 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 06 $5 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 06 $5 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 06 $5 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 06 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 06 $5 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 06 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 06 $5 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 06 $5 −$5 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 06 $5 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 06 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 06 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 06 $5 +$1 +25%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 55% −$95
sports 33% −$305
other 8% −$121
tech 3% −$83
finance 1% −$8
weather 0% −$4
world 0% $0
economics 0% −$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET SELL Up 94¢ $17 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $5 1h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 25¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET SELL Down 98¢ $27 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET SELL Down 83¢ $16 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET SELL Down 68¢ $7 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET SELL Down 59¢ $9 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET SELL Up 51¢ $4 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $5 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +46%
net ROI/market (all)-20.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 58 -1.2% -10.6% 76% 62% -7.8%
≤30d 66 -2.4% -11.7% 76% 62% -11.4%
≤90d 265 -12.2% -20.6% 60% 46% -28.3%
all 265 -12.2% -20.6% 60% 46% -28.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover15.1 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -20.6% 46% -28.3%
10% -28.2% 30% -35.1%
15% -35.1% 19% -41.4%
20% -41.5% 13% -47.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.03 · official $0.03 (match) · 752 history records