Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T02:25:46+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

7E
0x7e8a…d27b
crypto · 8 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$11 -42%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$11 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$11
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)0%
Wins / losses0 / 8
Open positions0
Markets (closed)8 / 8
History coverage1d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day36.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 8 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$11
7 days−$11
14 days−$11
30 days−$11
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $9 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$4 -74%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$11
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Down 3¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET SELL Down 3¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET SELL Up 92¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET SELL Up 74¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET SELL Down 36¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET SELL Down 35¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 27¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET SELL Up 60¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-92.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 8 -91.7% -92.5% 0% 0% -92.5%
≤30d 8 -91.7% -92.5% 0% 0% -92.5%
≤90d 8 -91.7% -92.5% 0% 0% -92.5%
all 8 -91.7% -92.5% 0% 0% -92.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover36.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -92.5% 0% -92.5%
10% ← realistic here -93.2% 0% -93.2%
15% -93.9% 0% -93.9%
20% -94.5% 0% -94.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 36 history records