Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:39:12+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

7E
0x7e8b…eca5
crypto · 887 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$121 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$121 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$121
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)45%
Wins / losses401 / 485
Open positions0
Markets (closed)886 / 887
History coverage10d
Avg bet$15
Trades / day350.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 886 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$96
7 days−$34
14 days−$121
30 days−$121
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$8 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$2 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$1 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$4 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$5 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$1 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$4 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $17 +$3 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$6 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$3 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$3 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$5 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $19 +$11 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$5 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $31 −$4 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$1 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$2 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$2 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$4 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$10 +94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$1 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$2 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$1 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$2 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$2 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$3 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$2 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$3 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$2 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 12 $31 $0 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$121
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET SELL Up 59¢ $11 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET SELL Up 59¢ $3 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $10 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET SELL Up 44¢ $8 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $10 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET SELL Up 41¢ $7 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $10 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET SELL Up 49¢ $1 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $10 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET SELL Up 44¢ $9 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $10 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET SELL Down 55¢ $5 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET SELL Down 55¢ $6 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $10 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET SELL Up 45¢ $9 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $10 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET SELL Down 64¢ $13 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $10 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET SELL Down 45¢ $9 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $10 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET SELL Up 60¢ $3 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET SELL Down 79¢ $16 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $10 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET SELL Down 45¢ $2 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET SELL Down 45¢ $2 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET SELL Down 45¢ $5 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $10 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET SELL Down 59¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET SELL Down 59¢ $12 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +27%
net ROI/market (all)-9.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 407 +0.3% -9.3% 45% 24% -10.0%
≤30d 886 +0.6% -9.0% 45% 27% -10.3%
≤90d 886 +0.6% -9.0% 45% 27% -10.3%
all 886 +0.6% -9.0% 45% 27% -10.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover350.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.0% 27% -10.3%
10% ← realistic here -17.7% 14% -18.9%
15% -25.6% 8% -26.7%
20% -32.9% 5% -33.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records