Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T12:28:36+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

7E
0x7e92…0ff0
other · 4 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$72 -36%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$72 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY ⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$49
Realized−$72
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)33%
Wins / losses1 / 2
Open positions1
Markets (closed)3 / 4
History coverage1d
Avg bet$50
Trades / day3.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit0%
Chart Positions 1 History 3 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$72
7 days−$72
14 days−$72
30 days−$72
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? Yes 38¢ 38¢ $50 $49 −$1 (-1%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 58¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 82¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $48 +$28 +57%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $51 −$50 -99%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $50 −$50 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 100% −$73
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 38¢ $51 1h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 63¢ $48 27h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 58¢ $51 27h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 82¢ $50 27h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-52.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 3 -47.7% -52.7% 33% 33% -53.6%
≤30d 3 -47.7% -52.7% 33% 33% -53.6%
≤90d 3 -47.7% -52.7% 33% 33% -53.6%
all 3 -47.7% -52.7% 33% 33% -53.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3.7 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -52.7% 33% -53.6%
10% -57.2% 33% -58.1%
15% -61.3% 33% -62.1%
20% -65.1% 33% -65.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $49.34 · official $49.34 (match) · 5 history records